Wheat Under Pressure: Assessing the Influence of Climate Change on
Pakistan’s Agricultural Landscape
- Muhammad Rizwan,
- Muhammad Kashif Aman,
- Muhammad Jawad Haider,
- Hafiz Muhammad Mohsin Raza,
- Muhammad Saqib,
- Abdul Malik
Muhammad Kashif Aman
University of Agriculture Faisalabad Institute of Soil and Environmental Sciences
Author ProfileMuhammad Saqib
The Islamia University of Bahawalpur Pakistan
Author ProfileAbdul Malik
University of Agriculture Faisalabad Faculty of Agriculture
Author ProfileAbstract
This study examined the effects of climate change on wheat production in
Pakistan, documenting yearly changes in the atmosphere such as floods,
rainfall, and increasing temperatures. Using a combination of
qualitative and quantitative methods, the objective is to analyze how
various factors, including water availability, the area of wheat
cultivation, carbon dioxide levels, precipitation, and temperature,
impact the wheat output in Pakistan. A comprehensive review of existing
literature provides context, while the VAR modeling technique is
utilized for quantitative data analysis, incorporating data from the
Economic Survey of Pakistan and the Meteorological Department. The VAR
model indicates a significant negative impact on Pakistan's wheat
production as a result of climate change. The study highlights the
urgent need to implement adaptation strategies to mitigate these
effects. The projected decline in wheat production has significant
implications for food security and livelihoods, necessitating policy
interventions and the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices.
The societal impact of these findings calls for collaborative efforts
among stakeholders, policymakers, and the general public to collectively
address the challenges posed by climate change in Pakistan's
agricultural sector.