Nicholas Dietrich

and 5 more

Low Earth orbit (LEO) radio occultation (RO) constellations can provide global electron density profiles (EDPs) to better specify and forecast the ionosphere-thermosphere (I-T) system. To inform future RO constellation design, this study uses comprehensive Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) to assess the ionospheric specification impact of assimilating synthetic EDPs into a coupled I-T model. These OSSEs use 10 different sets of RO constellation configurations containing 6 or 12 LEO satellites with base orbit parameter combinations of 520 km or 800 km altitude, and 24 degrees or 72 degrees inclination. The OSSEs are performed using the Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter implemented in the Data Assimilation Research Testbed and the Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIEGCM). A different I-T model is used for the nature run, the Whole Atmosphere Model-Ionosphere Plasmasphere Electrodynamics (WAM-IPE), to simulate the period of interest is the St. Patrick’s Day storm on March 13-18, 2015. Errors from models and EDP retrieval are realistically accounted for in this study through distinct I-T models and by retrieving synthetic EDPs through an extension Abel inversion algorithm. OSSE assessment, using multiple metrics, finds that greater EDP spatial coverage leading to improved specification at altitudes 300 km and above, with the 520 km altitude constellations performing best due to yielding the highest observation counts. A potential performance limit is suggested with two 6-satellite constellations. Lastly, close examination of Abel inversion error impacts highlights major EDP limitations at altitudes below 200 km and dayside equatorial regions with large horizontal gradients and low electron density magnitudes.

Loren C. Chang

and 7 more

Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are elongated plasma depletions that can occur in the nighttime ionospheric F region, causing scintillation in satellite navigation and communications signals. EPBs are believed to be Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities seeded by vertically propagating gravity waves. A necessary pre-condition for EPB formation is a threshold vertical ion drift from the E region, which is required to produce the vertical plasma gradients conducive to this instability. Factors affecting the variation of EPBs therefore include magnetic declination, the strength of the equatorial electojet, and the wind dynamo in the lower thermosphere controlling vertical plasma drifts. In most longitude zones, this results in elevated EPB occurrence rates during the equinoxes. The notable exception is over the central Pacific and African sectors, where EPB activity maximizes during solstice. \citet{tsunoda_jgr2015} hypothesized that the solstice maxima in these two sectors could be driven by a zonal wavenumber 2 atmospheric tide in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. In this study, we find that the post-sunset electron density observed by FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC during the boreal summer from 2007 - 2012 does indeed exhibit a wave-2 zonal distribution, consistent with results expected from elevated vertical ion drift over the Central Pacific and African sectors. Numerical experiments are also carried out which found that forcing from the aforementioned tidal and stationary planetary wave (SPW) components produced wave-2 modulations on vertical ion drift, ion flux convergence, and midnight TEC. The relation between the vertical ion drift enhancements and the midnight TEC enhancements are consistent with the solstice maxima hypothesis.