Binod ADHIKARI

and 6 more

In this paper, we present the variations of IMF-Bz, Solar wind Parameters (Vsw, Nsw, and Psw), and Geomagnetic Indices (AE and SYM-H), and the variation of Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) using simultaneous VTEC data from 12 GPS-TEC stations over the Indian, Australian, Brazilian and South African regions. We describe contrast in Total Electron Content (TEC) throughout the globe using global ionospheric maps at regular 2-hour interval of UT during the three intense geomagnetic storms. Moreover, we observed that heavily TEC influenced areas were found to be transposing through equatorial plane starting from eastern sectors to the western sectors. Indian Ocean, Atlantic Ocean and South Pacific Ocean sectors were affected flowingly. Global Ionospheric Maps evince that Indian and Brazilian sectors were affected heavily explaining the TID and Equatorial Anomaly as seen on those areas. The equatorial and low-latitude regions have been mainly affected by the geomagnetic storms. All these results suggested that the acute disruption of global winds (surging towards the equator from higher latitudes) and electric fields commenced from magnetosphere-ionosphere interaction cause the severe modification in the equatorial, low-latitude region. We checked the cross correlation during the period of high solar and geomagnetic activities; the correlation gradually increased with the near by stations by latitudes in most of the cases which was another intriguing result. the storms were affected globally which is why we believe that variation of TEC over various stations of the globe could turn out to be very helpful in predicting solar wind coupling with magnetosphere-ionospehere.

Binod Adhikari

and 8 more

In this paper, we study the variations of the solar-wind parameters (solar wind velocity, plasma density, and IMF-Bz component) and the Earth’s disturbance storm-time index (Dst), in relation to cosmic ray flux measurements from 8 neutron monitor stations distributed over Canada, Russia, Finland, and Greenland, during 3 intense geomagnetic storms occurred during the 24th solar cycle (March 16-18, 2015, June 21-23, 2015, and September 7-9, 2017). The wavelet analysis of the Forbush decrease seen in the cosmic ray intensity reveals the clear evolution of the classical two-step process, and with a peak period of approximately 2.1 h. The correlation-delay analyses show a very strong correlation (~0.9) between the relative count rate changes cosmic ray intensity and the indices of solar wind velocity and Dst. We obtain similar time-delay responses to the solar wind velocity for all the cases (~4 hours), but large discrepancies are seen for the Dst index between the storms. We therefore recommend not using the Dst index for predicting Forbush decreases. Finally, we employ the resulting delay-times to parameterize the Forbush decreases in terms of solar wind, and we obtain a predictive model with R2 parameter of an approximate value of 0.8. Moreover, we observe a possible dependence on solar wind proton density which modulates the magnitude of Forbush decreases under similar solar wind velocity conditions. Our results verify the suitability of using solar wind parameters to predict Forbush decreases in the cosmic ray flux.