Henok Kefelegn

and 11 more

Coastal flooding associated with hurricanes and other major storm events along the U.S. Coast results from complex interactions between freshwater flows, tides, storm surge, and wave effects. We have developed a two-way coupled model consisting of the National Water Model (NWM), the Advanced Circulation Ocean Model (ADCIRC), and WAVEWATCH III (WWIII) to quantify these interactions and compute total water levels in the coastal zone after significant riverine and coastal flooding events. This coupled continental coastal model covers the US Gulf and Atlantic Coasts, extending from the US-Canada border to the US-Mexico border. The Delft3D FM, D-Flow Flexible Mesh (D-Flow FM) model simulates coastal flooding on a 2D unstructured mesh within the National Water Model (NWM)/ADCIRC/WWIII coupled system. We developed a high quality 2D unstructured mesh using a sizing function that assigns element sizes based on proximities of coastal features at given spatial locations. Data sources used to identify relevant coastal features included NWM streamlines, the National Hydrography Dataset (NHD), and United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) data, allowing integration of D-Flow FM with the NWM and optimization of the number of computational points. The system obtains freshwater inflow boundary conditions to D-Flow FM from the NWM channel network. Offshore water levels boundary conditions for D-Flow FM come from the coupled ADCIRC-WWIII model. Domain sub-setting keeps runtimes within reasonable limits, as it does execution of the detailed hydrodynamic model within a user-defined area enclosing the storm landfall site. The advantage of this approach comes from the fact that the same coupled model setup allows simulation of coastal flooding for different storm events; only the sub-setting enclosure and the atmospheric forcing require updating from case to case. Model validation, consisting of water level comparisons against observations from simulations using the coupled system for historical storm events. The model simulations satisfactorily reproduced observed spatial and temporal variations of total water levels. In conclusion, this study presents performance of the sub-setting approach in reducing runtime considerably without compromising the accuracy of the coupled modeling system solution.

Ali Abdolali

and 10 more

The Named Storm Event Model (NSEM) which includes the atmospheric suite (HWRF 1, HRRR 2, RTMA-URMA 3 and WRF-LES 4) [1], the coupled wave-surge-riverine modeling system (WW3 5-ADCIRC 6-NWM 7) [2,3] and a validation suite has been developed to provide definitive estimates of wind and water variables of major landfalling hurricanes, in compliance with the United States COASTAL Act of 2012. Within this framework, the performance of atmospheric products is evaluated and blended fields are generated on a high-resolution grid, using a master blend recipe. The atmospheric data forces the downstream hydro-coupled component which includes the wave (WAVEWATCH III [4,5]), ocean circulation (ADCIRC) and hydrological models (NWM). These have been coupled using the community-based National Unified Operational Prediction Capability (NUOPC) layer based on the Earth Systems Modeling Framework (ESMF). The wind and hydro products are evaluated against offshore and coastal wave buoys, nearshore water level stations, radars and satellite altimeters, as well as USGS rapid-deployment water level and wave gauges placed in the nearshore regions and overland. The NSEM workflow will be presented at the conference, highlighting the advantages of ESMF in model performance improvement and challenges for upstream atmospheric model blending, model coupling, and validation against observations. 1- HWRF (Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting) 2- HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) 3- RTMA-URMA (Real Time Mesoscale Analysis-UnRestricted Mesoscale Analysis) 4- WRF-LES (Weather Research and Forecasting-Large Eddy Simulation) 5- WAVEWATCH III (WAVE-height, WATer depth and Current Hindcasting) 6- ADCIRC (The ADvanced CIRCulation model) 7- NWM (National Water Model)

Henok Kefelegn

and 12 more

We present a high-resolution continental-scale compound flood modeling system. It aims to quantify inland flooding resulting from the composite effects of riverine discharge and surface runoff and storm surge, in the inland-coastal zone during significant riverine and coastal storm events. This is achieved by coupling three continental models: the National Water Model (NWM) for the hydrology component, the Advanced Circulation Ocean Model for the coastal storm surge component, and the WAVEWATCH III model for the surface wave component with a detailed inland-coastal inundation model as the mediator between coastal and inland hydrology module. The inundation model, Delft3D FM, D-Flow Flexible Mesh (D-Flow FM), uses a high quality 2D unstructured grid with high-resolution (~100 m) near coastal features and lower-resolution in other areas to resolve the geometry of the study area. The coastal features are collected from NWM streamlines, National Hydrography Dataset, US medium shorelines and bathymetric features from the United States Army Corps of Engineers . The D-Flow FM model is forced by time-varying water levels and riverine discharges applied at its offshore and inland boundaries, respectively, by spatially- and time-varying wind and pressure fields and incorporates the contributions of surface and subsurface runoff to the total discharge in rivers, channels and streams. We conducted model validations for the following four major flooding events across the US coast: Hurricanes Ike (2008), Sandy (2012), Irma (2017), and Florence (2018). The results highlight the importance of including composite effects of compound flooding to accurately predict water levels during combined river flooding and extreme storm surge events.