Ronald Caplan

and 6 more

The main objective of the NASA-NSF SWQU “A New-generation Software to Improve the Accuracy of Space Weather Predictions” effort is to develop a data-driven time-dependent model of the solar corona and heliosphere. This model will provide coronal and solar wind predictions and be made available to the public. One key component of this model is the use of a data-assimilation flux transport model to generate an ensemble of synchronic radial magnetic field maps to use as boundary conditions for the coronal field model. While flux transport models have long been established in the community, they are not open source or available for public use. We therefore are developing a new Open-source Flux Transport (OFT) software suite. The computational core of the OFT is the High-Performance Flux Transport code (HipFT). HipFT implements advection, diffusion, and data assimilation for the solar surface on a logically rectangular non-uniform spherical grid. It is written in Fortran and parallelized for use with multi-core CPUs and GPUs using a combination of OpenACC/MP directives and Fortran’s standard parallel ‘do concurrent’. To alleviate the strict time-step stability criteria for the diffusion equation, we use a Legendre polynomial extended stability Runge-Kutta super time-stepping algorithm (RKL2). The code is designed to be modular, incorporating various differential rotation, meridianal flow, super granular convective flow, and data assimilation models. Multiple realizations of the evolving flux will be computed in parallel using MPI in order to produce an ensemble of model outputs for uncertainty quantification. Here, we describe the initial implementation of the HipFT code and demonstrate its validation and performance. We use an analytic solution of surface diffusion and rigid rotational longitudinal velocity to validate the advection and diffusion implementations. We also compare realistic flux transport test problems against the established AFT flux transport code.

Spiridon Kasapis

and 7 more

The Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is a solar mission in an inclined geosynchronous orbit. Since commissioning, images acquired by Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) instrument on-board the SDO have frequently displayed “spikes”, pixel regions yielding extreme number of digital counts. These are theorized to occur from energetic electron collisions with the instrument detector system. These spikes are regularly removed from AIA Level 1.0 images to produce clean and reliable data. A study of historical data has found over 100 trillion spikes in the past decade. This project correlates spike detection frequency with radiation environment parameters in order to generate an augmented data product from SDO. We conduct a correlation study between SDO/AIA data and radiation belt activity within the SDO’s orbit. By extracting radiation “spike” data from the SDO/AIA images, we produce a comprehensive data product which is correlated not only with geomagnetic parameters such as Kp, Ap and Sym-H but also with the electron and proton fluxes measured by the GOES-14 satellite. As a result, we find that AIA spikes are highly correlated with the GOES-14 electrons detected by the MAGED and EPEAD instruments at the equator (where the two satellites meet) with Spearman’s Correlation values of ρ=0.73 and ρ=0.53 respectively, while a weaker correlation of ρ=0.47 is shown with MAGPD protons for the two year period where both missions returned data uninterruptedly. This correlation proves that the SDO spike data can be proven useful for characterizing the Van Allen radiation belt, especially at areas where other satellites cannot.