Abstract

This study examined the effects of climate change on wheat production in Pakistan, documenting yearly changes in the atmosphere such as floods, rainfall, and increasing temperatures. Using a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, the objective is to analyze how various factors, including water availability, the area of wheat cultivation, carbon dioxide levels, precipitation, and temperature, impact the wheat output in Pakistan. A comprehensive review of existing literature provides context, while the VAR modeling technique is utilized for quantitative data analysis, incorporating data from the Economic Survey of Pakistan and the Meteorological Department. The VAR model indicates a significant negative impact on Pakistan's wheat production as a result of climate change. The study highlights the urgent need to implement adaptation strategies to mitigate these effects. The projected decline in wheat production has significant implications for food security and livelihoods, necessitating policy interventions and the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices. The societal impact of these findings calls for collaborative efforts among stakeholders, policymakers, and the general public to collectively address the challenges posed by climate change in Pakistan's agricultural sector.