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Unraveling the Interplay Between Demography and Landscape Features in Shaping Connectivity and Diversity: Insights from the Leopard Cat on a Subtropical Island
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  • Pei-Wei Sun,
  • Chen Hsiao,
  • Kurtis Jai-Chyi Pei,
  • Yu-Hsiu Lin,
  • Mei-Ting Chen,
  • Po-Jen Chiang,
  • Ling Wang,
  • Dau-Jye Lu,
  • Pei-Chun Liao,
  • Yu-Ten Ju
Pei-Wei Sun
National Taiwan Normal University
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Chen Hsiao
National Taiwan University
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Kurtis Jai-Chyi Pei
National Pingtung University of Science and Technology
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Yu-Hsiu Lin
Endemic Species Research Institute
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Mei-Ting Chen
National Pingtung University of Science and Technology
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Po-Jen Chiang
Formosan Wild Sound Conservation Science Center Co., Ltd., Taoyuan, Taiwan
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Ling Wang
National Taiwan University
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Dau-Jye Lu
National Taiwan University
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Pei-Chun Liao
National Taiwan Normal University
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Yu-Ten Ju
National Taiwan University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Abstract

Elucidating how demography and contemporary landscape features regulate functional connectivity and diversity is crucial to implementing effective conservation strategies, especially in highly fragmented landscapes. We analyzed the impacts of landscape features and demographic events on the dispersal and genetic structure of a locally endangered carnivore, the leopard cat (Prionailurus bengalensis), across subtropical Taiwan. We genotyped 184 samples from both human-impacted and natural habitats using 12 nuclear microsatellites and a mitochondrial marker. Bayesian analyses revealed a recent population decline within the past 200 years, and a current genetic hotspot appears to have arisen from interbreeding between previously diverged populations. Genetic clustering and resistance surface modeling support the notion that the population structure is influenced by manufactured linear and natural topographical features. We employed a landscape optimization procedure using two genetic distances to reveal that highways and elevation are the most significant barriers affecting leopard cat connectivity. Niche modeling indicated that low temperature is a primary factor limiting leopard cat occurrence, potentially explaining why their resistance to movement is positively correlated with elevation. Utilizing an ensemble approach, we predict that suitable leopard cat habitat will shrink northward and towards higher more rugged altitudes. Our study provides genetic evidence that anthropogenic landscape features compromise the connectivity and persistence of a vagile carnivore that is under severe pressure from habitat loss and human activities. Our findings serve as a model for landscape genetic studies of island carnivores in subtropical regions, aimed at understanding how manufactured landscapes affect intra-species diversity and dispersal.