Unraveling the Interplay Between Demography and Landscape Features in
Shaping Connectivity and Diversity: Insights from the Leopard Cat on a
Subtropical Island
Abstract
Elucidating how demography and contemporary landscape features regulate
functional connectivity and diversity is crucial to implementing
effective conservation strategies, especially in highly fragmented
landscapes. We analyzed the impacts of landscape features and
demographic events on the dispersal and genetic structure of a locally
endangered carnivore, the leopard cat (Prionailurus bengalensis), across
subtropical Taiwan. We genotyped 184 samples from both human-impacted
and natural habitats using 12 nuclear microsatellites and a
mitochondrial marker. Bayesian analyses revealed a recent population
decline within the past 200 years, and a current genetic hotspot appears
to have arisen from interbreeding between previously diverged
populations. Genetic clustering and resistance surface modeling support
the notion that the population structure is influenced by manufactured
linear and natural topographical features. We employed a landscape
optimization procedure using two genetic distances to reveal that
highways and elevation are the most significant barriers affecting
leopard cat connectivity. Niche modeling indicated that low temperature
is a primary factor limiting leopard cat occurrence, potentially
explaining why their resistance to movement is positively correlated
with elevation. Utilizing an ensemble approach, we predict that suitable
leopard cat habitat will shrink northward and towards higher more rugged
altitudes. Our study provides genetic evidence that anthropogenic
landscape features compromise the connectivity and persistence of a
vagile carnivore that is under severe pressure from habitat loss and
human activities. Our findings serve as a model for landscape genetic
studies of island carnivores in subtropical regions, aimed at
understanding how manufactured landscapes affect intra-species diversity
and dispersal.