loading page

Anoxia Begets Anoxia: a positive feedback to the deoxygenation of temperate lakes
  • +19
  • Abigail S. L. Lewis,
  • Maximilian P. Lau,
  • Stephen F. Jane,
  • Kevin C. Rose,
  • Yaron Be’eri-Shlevin,
  • Sarah H. Burnet,
  • François Clayer,
  • Heidrun Feuchtmayr,
  • Hans-Peter Grossart,
  • Dexter W. Howard,
  • Heather Mariash,
  • Jordi Delgado Martin,
  • Rebecca L. North,
  • Isabella Oleksy,
  • Rachel M. Pilla,
  • Amy P. Smagula,
  • Ruben Sommaruga,
  • Sara E. Steiner,
  • Piet Verburg,
  • Danielle Wain,
  • Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer,
  • Cayelan Carey
Abigail S. L. Lewis

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Maximilian P. Lau
Author Profile
Stephen F. Jane
Author Profile
Kevin C. Rose
Author Profile
Yaron Be’eri-Shlevin
Author Profile
Sarah H. Burnet
Author Profile
François Clayer
Author Profile
Heidrun Feuchtmayr
Author Profile
Hans-Peter Grossart
Author Profile
Dexter W. Howard
Author Profile
Heather Mariash
Author Profile
Jordi Delgado Martin
Author Profile
Rebecca L. North
Author Profile
Isabella Oleksy
Author Profile
Rachel M. Pilla
Author Profile
Amy P. Smagula
Author Profile
Ruben Sommaruga
Author Profile
Sara E. Steiner
Author Profile
Piet Verburg
Author Profile
Danielle Wain
Author Profile
Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer
Author Profile
Cayelan Carey
Author Profile

Abstract

Declining oxygen concentrations in the deep waters of lakes worldwide pose a pressing environmental and societal challenge. Existing theory suggests that low deep-water dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations could trigger a positive feedback through which anoxia (i.e., very low DO) during a given summer begets increasingly severe occurrences of anoxia in following summers. Specifically, anoxic conditions can promote nutrient release from sediments, thereby stimulating phytoplankton growth, and subsequent phytoplankton decomposition can fuel heterotrophic respiration, resulting in increased spatial extent and duration of anoxia. However, while the individual relationships in this feedback are well established, to our knowledge there has not been a systematic analysis within or across lakes that simultaneously demonstrates all of the mechanisms necessary to produce a positive feedback that reinforces anoxia. Here, we compiled data from 656 widespread temperate lakes and reservoirs to analyze the proposed Anoxia Begets Anoxia (ABA) feedback. Lakes in the dataset span a broad range of surface area (1–126,909 ha), maximum depth (6–370 m), and morphometry, with a median time series duration of 30 years at each lake. Using linear mixed models, we found support for each of the positive feedback relationships between anoxia, phosphorus concentrations, chlorophyll-a concentrations, and oxygen demand across the 656-lake dataset. Likewise, we found further support for these relationships by analyzing time series data from individual lakes. Our results indicate that the strength of these feedback relationships may vary with lake-specific characteristics: for example, we found that surface phosphorus concentrations were more positively associated with chlorophyll-a in high-phosphorus lakes, and oxygen demand had a stronger influence on the extent of anoxia in deep lakes. Taken together, these results support the existence of a positive feedback that could magnify the effects of climate change and other anthropogenic pressures driving the development of anoxia in lakes around the world.