Do occupational health policies in China really work for residents?
--Analyzing synthetic control based on text mining
Abstract
Measuring and providing feedback on residents’ attention to occupational
health issues is of significant importance for the optimization of
relevant policies. This study focuses on the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan
for the Control of Occupational Disease Hazards (13th FYP CODH), using
text mining techniques to capture the residents’ attention to
occupational health issues in provinces from 2013 to 2021. Based on the
synthetic control method, a counterfactual comparison unit was
constructed to compare the differences between the actual and synthetic
values of residents’ attention rate to evaluate the implementation
effect of the13th FYP CODH. The results indicate that, regarding
residents’ attention rates, the13th FYP CODH has a brief promotional
effect on the attention levels of residents in the responsive provinces.
As the policy efficacy undergoes periods of strong effectiveness,
fatigue, and revival, the residents’ attention rates exhibit a
“U”-shaped evolving trend. In terms of synthetic control differences,
compared to Hunan, Shandong province experiences positive policy effects
only during the period of strong effectiveness. As time progresses, the
policy effects become less apparent, indicating a phenomenon of
“subsequent weakening” in policy efficacy. Additionally, medical and
health conditions, urbanization level, and technological innovation
capacity positively moderate the implementation effects of the13th FYP
CODH while industrial structure exerts a negative moderating effect on
its implementation effects. This study examines the policy effects of
China’s occupational health policy from the perspective of residents’
attention levels, offering insights that are intuitive, sustainable, and
implementable.