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# Results
Using the procedure above and based on the votes
as of
over 7,000 users, 16th March 2015, the app has made these forecasts:
| Party |
Basic Raw | Stand. | AY Fixed | AY, YH, AU Fixed | AY, YH, AU, S Fixed |
|--------------------|-------|----------|------------------|---------------------| |--------------------|-------|-------|----------|------------------|---------------------|
| Ha'Mahane Ha'Zioni |
32 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 |
| Ha'Likud |
17 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 |
| Yesh Atid |
16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| Ha'Bayit Ha'Yehudi |
12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| Yachad |
10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Merez |
13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Arab Union |
0 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 12 |
| Kulanu | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
6 |
| Ale Yarok |
10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shas |
4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Yahadut Ha'Tora |
0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| Israel Beytenu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 |
Table 1. Israeli 2015 elections forecasts using HAMIDGAM app.
The numbers represent a forecast of the number of seats for each party. Raw: based on raw data, 7,506 votes. Stand.: data standardized using a 2013 to 2015 transition matrix (see Methods), 2,447 votes. Fixed: data standardized using the transition matrix, and number of votes of specific parties were fixed at their 2013 values (AY: Ale Yarok; YH: Yahaudt Ha'Tora; AU: Arab Union; S: Sash).