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Paul St-Aubin edited Results Motion Prediction.tex
almost 10 years ago
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\subsection{Sample
Surrogate Safety Analysis}
A sample
surrogate safety analysis of three of the sites is demonstrated in Figure~\ref{fig:selected-site}. This shows trajectory tracks projected in and with respect to the scene, mean speed and heading, and spatial distribution of motion-pattern-predicted collision
point density points with
a interaction-instant instantaneous $probability > 1e5$ and
instantaneous $TTC < 1.5 seconds$.
% paul: the merging zone as a unit of analysis is not well defined. Add a figure if we have enough space
% paul->Nicolas: added a definition at the beginning of the section.
Figure~\ref{fig:ttc_distro_sample} demonstrates
a cross-sectional comparison of
Constant Velocity TTC distributions
based on motion prediction at constant velocity for 20 merging zones for two contributing factors, each using all
interaction-instant aggregation. K-S interaction instants. Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests are performed between the distributions to quantify non-parametric
dissimiltude. dissimilitude. In the first diagram, a cross-sectional comparison is made for
merge merging zones situated nearer or further than 300 metres upstream from another intersection. When this distance exceeds 300 metres, the distribution mass appears to shift left except for a sharp increase in small TTC below 0.5 seconds.
While It is so far unknown whether this
represents a smaller proportion of interactions, they are more "severe" measures small concentration of
TTC (i.e. closer to zero). low-TTC conflicts offsets all other increases in TTC. This comparison remains therefore inconclusive. In the second diagram, a cross-sectional comparison is made between
merge merging zones with high approach traffic volume ratios and low approach traffic volume ratios, where $R$ is the flow ratio between approach volumes and total volumes at the
merge merging zone. In this comparison, a clear and consistent mass shift is observed, suggesting that high approach traffic volume ratios contribute to safer merging behaviour in a roundabout.
% paul: When this distance exceeds 300 metres, the distribution mass appears to shift left -> right ?
% paul->Nicolas: Not entirely. There is a sharp increase in the 0-0.5 range, small number of possibly "severe" conflicts. Conclusion is therefor inconclusive.