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Paul St-Aubin edited subsection_Merging_Zone_The_reasoning__.tex
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\subsection{Beahavoural Measures}
The parameters of interest for this particular study are the most notable surrogate safety measures: speed (and speed profiles), time-to-collision (TTC) \citep{Hayward_1971}, and
yielding post-encroachment time (yPET).
Note that yPET is an ordinary PET measure \citep{allen1978analysis}
but is designated yPET as it is measured specifically at the
merging zone yield line, where encroachment is prohibited by way of mandated yielding on the part of the approaching road user only.
Speed and yPET are measured directly from the observed road user trajectories as they occur.
Speed and yPET are measured directly from the road user trajectories as they occur. TTC, however,
requires the modeling makes use of
potential collisions. collision-course prediction models. Typically, potential collisions are defined as
collision courses of collision-course events using constant
velocity, velocity motion prediction, i.e. ``with movement remaining unchanged'' \citep{Amundsen_1977}. Given the non-linear
environment of roundabouts, driving required to navigate the deflection induced by roundabout central islands and approach angles, a more sophisticated
motion collision-course prediction
collision course model is used
instead. For instead: for this work, the discretised motion pattern
motion prediction model developped specifically
as a result to address the issues of
motion prediction needs modeling movement in
roundabouts complex environments \citep{St_Aubin_2014} is used. It is be no means specific to roundabouts however.
Speed is widely regarded in the literature as a predictor of collision severity \citep[e.g.][]{Fildes_1993, elvik2004speed}. Meanwhile, TTC is one of the most popular surrogate safety measures intended as a predictor of collision probability (as it models near-misses). yPET is of interest as a model of yielding behaviour and merging aggressivity (it is related to gap time and gap acceptance).