deletions | additions
diff --git a/SPECS-continues.tex b/SPECS-continues.tex
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...
In order to develop connections with our theoretical framework, and
because existing experiments have not been particularly strong, we
focus on a thought experiment in the
following section, Section \ref{sec:computational-serendipity} detailing some of the
outcomes we would like to see, and some of the risks.
diff --git a/bibliography/biblio.bib b/bibliography/biblio.bib
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--- a/bibliography/biblio.bib
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...
@book{zadig,
title={Zadig, or the Book of Fate},
author={Voltaire},
year={1749 [1748]},
place={London},
publisher={John Brindley}
}
@article{chumaceiro1995serendipity,
title={Serendipity or pseudoserendipity? {U}nexpected versus desired results},
...
@book{bergson2010creative,
Annote = {original title: La {P}ens{\'e}e et le {M}ouvant},
Author = {Bergson, Henri},
Note =
{(trans. {Trans. Mabel L.
Andison)}, Andison.},
Place = {Westport, Connecticut},
Publisher = {Greenwood Press},
Title = {{T}he {C}reative {M}ind},
...
@book{deleuze1991bergsonism,
Author = {Deleuze, Gilles},
Note =
{(trans. {Trans. Hugh Tomlinson and Barbara
Habberjam)}, Habberjam.},
Place = {New York},
Publisher = {Zone},
Title = {Bergsonism},
...
@book{deleuze1994difference,
Author = {Deleuze, Gilles},
Note =
{(trans. {Trans. Paul
Patton)}, Patton.},
Place = {London},
Publisher = {Bloomsbury Academic},
Title = {Difference and repetition},
diff --git a/introduction.tex b/introduction.tex
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--- a/introduction.tex
+++ b/introduction.tex
...
out to be just the right ingredient for 3M's
Post-it\texttrademark\ notes.
%
Serendipity is related, firstly, to deviations from
expected or
familiar patterns, and secondly, to new insight.
%
When we consider the practical uses for weak glue, the possibility
that a life-saving antibiotic might be found growing on contaminated
...
told, but that the act of programming forces us to confront the
emergence of the new \cite{mead1932philosophy}.
%
Minsky \citeyear{minsky1967programming} suggests that in practice,
programmers write programs ``for the individuals of little societies''
precisely because we cannot envision in advance all of the details of
program interactions.
%
Indeterminacy forms an important part of any proposal for
``intelligent machines'', after Turing:
\begin{quote}
diff --git a/literature.tex b/literature.tex
index d77a01c..392c4ea 100644
--- a/literature.tex
+++ b/literature.tex
...
\citeyear[p. 631]{van1994anatomy} describes it simply as ``the art of
making an unsought finding''.
Roberts \citeyear[pp. 246--249]{roberts} records 30 entries for the term ``serendipity'' from English language dictionaries dating from 1909 to 1989.
%
Classic definitions require the investigator not to be aware of the problem they serendipitously solve, but this criterion has largely dropped from dictionary definitions. Only 5 of Roberts' collected definitions explicitly say ``not sought for.'' Roberts characterises ``sought findings'' in which an accident leads to a discovery with the term \emph{pseudoserendipity} \cite{chumaceiro1995serendipity}.
...
we will elaborate on the characteristics of serendipity with
particular reference to classic examples.
\textbf{[Here I think it would The story of ``Eight Paradises'' was also
adapted into an early
chapter of Voltaire's Zadig, and in turn ``the method of Zadig''
informed subsequent approaches both to fiction writing and natural
science. This method is, to be
worth mentioning that sure, rooted in discovery:
\begin{quote}
``[H]\emph{e pry’d into the
idea Nature and Properties of
serendipity had an influence on Voltaire, especially Animals and
Plants, and soon, by his strict and repeated Enquiries, he was
capable of discerning a Thousand Variations in
visible Objects,
that others, less curious, imagin’d were all
alike.}''~\cite[pp. 21--22]{zadig}
\end{quote}
\noindent However the
work `Zadig', and essential thing is that
from these various
disparate observations, Zadig is able to assemble a coherent picture:
\begin{quote}
\emph{It was his peculiar Talent to render Truth as obvious as
possible: Whereas most Men study to render it intricate and
obscure.}~\cite[p. 54]{zadig}
\end{quote}
Similarly, but in reverse, a coherent picture may be reduced to
fragmented pieces each of which tell a different story from the
`method whole.
In enumerating the various features of
Zadig' was an influence on serendipity below, we will draw
connections with the
genre schematic diagram presented in Section
\ref{specs-overview}, in order to best present the multifaceted but
coherent notion of
detective fiction, and arguably even on detective
work.]} serendipity.
\subsection{Connections with our formal definition}
Each of the features described below, using an example drawn from the
literature on serendipity, with connections to one part of our diagram.
\subsubsection*{Key condition for serendipity}
\begin{itemize}
\item \textbf{Focus shift}: ``\emph{After removing several of the
burdock burrs (seeds) that kept sticking to his clothes and his
dog's
fur, he became fur,}~[de Mestral]~\emph{became curious as to how it
worked. He examined them under a microscope, and noted hundreds of
`hooks' that caught on anything with a loop, such as clothing,
animal fur, or hair. He saw the possibility of binding two materials
reversibly in a simple fashion, if he could figure out how to
duplicate the hooks and loops.}''~\cite{wiki:velcro}
%
\inlineitem{
This corresponds to the identification of $T^\star$ in our diagram.}
\end{itemize}
\subsubsection*{Components of serendipity}
...
substance which is harmful to harmful bacteria but harmless to human
tissue?'' \cite[p. 161]{roberts}.
%%
%
\inlineitem{This corresponds to the prior
training $p$ and $p^{\prime}$ in our diagram.}
\item \textbf{Serendipity trigger}: The trigger does not directly
cause the outcome, but rather, inspires a new insight. It was long
known by Quechua medics that cinchona bark stops shivering. In
...
joint appearance of shivering Europeans and a South American remedy
was the trigger. That an extract from cinchona bark can cure and
can even prevent malaria was subsequently revealed.
%
\inlineitem{This corresponds to the stimulus
$T$ in our diagram.}
%%
\item \textbf{Bridge}: These include reasoning techniques, such as
abductive inference (what might cause a clear patch in a petri
...
his vision of a snake biting its tail). The bridge may also rely on
new social arrangements, such as the formation of cross-cultural
research networks.
%
\inlineitem{This corresponds to the actions based on $p^{\prime}$
taken on $T^\star$.}
%%
\item \textbf{Result}: This may be a new product, artefact, process,
hypothesis, a new use for a material substance, and so on. The
...
nevertheless arising from an unknown, unlikely, coincidental or
unexpected source. More classically, it is an \emph{unsought}
finding, such as the discovery of the Rosetta stone.
%
\inlineitem{This corresponds to our $R$.}
\end{itemize}
\subsubsection*{Dimensions of serendipity}
Whereas the foregoing items are the central features of the
definition, the following further characterise the circumstances under
which serendipity occurs in practice.
\begin{itemize}
\item \textbf{Chance}: Fleming \citeyear{fleming} noted: ``There are
thousands of different moulds'' -- and ``that chance put the mould
in the right spot at the right time was like winning the Irish
sweep.''
%
\inlineitem{One must assume that relatively few triggers $T^\star$
that are identified as interesting actually lead to useful results;
in other words, the process is fallible.}
%%
\item \textbf{Curiosity}: Venkatesh Rao \citeyear{rao2011tempo} refers
to a \emph{cheap trick} that takes place early on in a narratives in
order to establish preliminary conditions of order. Curiosity with
can play this role, and can dispose a creative person to
continue begin, or
to continue, a
search, looking search in unexpected places.
%
\inlineitem{The prior training $p$ causes interesting features to be
extracted, even if they are not necessarily useful; and $p^{\prime}$
asks how these features \emph{might} be useful. }
%%
\item \textbf{Sagacity}: This old-fashioned word is related to
``wisdom,'' ``insight,'' and especially to ``taste'' -- and
...
contribute to forming the bridge between the trigger and the result.
In many cases, such as an entanglement with cockle-burs, many others
will have already been in a similar position and not obtained an
interesting result.
Once a phenomenon has been identified as
interesting, the disposition of the investigator may lead to a
dogged pursuit of a useful application or improvement.
%
\inlineitem{Rather than a simple look-up
rule, $p^{\prime}$ involves creating new knowledge.}
%%
\item \textbf{Value}: Note that the chance ``discovery'' of, say, a
\pounds 10 note may be seen as happy by the person who finds it,
...
man's gain'' than in scenarios where ``One man's trash is another
man's treasure.'' If possible we prefer this sort of independent
judgement \cite{jordanous:12}.
%
\inlineitem{The
evaluation $|R|>0$ may be carried out ``locally'' (as an embedded
part of the process of invention of $R$) and ``globally''
(i.e.~as an external process).
}
\end{itemize}
\subsubsection*{Environmental factors}
...
\citeyear[p. 643]{van1994anatomy} estimates that in twenty percent
of innovations ``something was discovered before there was a demand
for it.''
%
\inlineitem{$T$ (and $T^\star$) appears within a stream of data with
indeterminacy. There is a further feedback loop, insofar as
products $R$ influence the future state.}
%%
\item \textbf{Multiple contexts}: One of the dynamical aspects at play
may be the discoverer going back and forth between different
contexts, with different stimuli. 3M employee Arthur Fry sang in a
church choir and needed a good way to mark pages in his hymn
book.
He book;
he happened to have been
going to attending seminars offered by his colleague
Silver about restickable glue.
%
\inlineitem{This is reflected directly in our model by the difference
between the ``context of discovery'' involving prior preparations
$p$, and the ``context of invention'' involving prior preparations
$p^{\prime}$. Both of these may be subdivided further.}
%%
\item \textbf{Multiple tasks}: Even within what would typically be
seen as a single context, a discoverer may take on multiple tasks
that segment the context into sub-contexts, or that cause the
investigator to look in more than one direction. The tasks may have
an interesting
overlap, \emph{overlap}, or they may point to a
gap \emph{gap} in
knowledge.
As an example of the latter, Penzias and Wilson used a
large antenna to detect radio waves that were relayed by bouncing
off of satellites. After they had removed interference effects due
to radar, radio, and heat, they found residual ambient noise that
couldn't be eliminated \cite{wiki:cosmic-radiation}.
%
\inlineitem{Both $T$ and $T^\star$ may be multiple, causing an
individual process to fork into communicating sub-processes that
involve different skills sets.}
%%
\item \textbf{Multiple influences}: The ``bridge'' from trigger to
result is often found through a social network, thus, for instance
Penzias and Wilson only understood the significance of their work
after reading a preprint by Jim Peebles that hypothesised the
possibility of measuring radiation released by the big bang
\cite{wiki:cosmic-radiation}.
%
\inlineitem{The process as a whole may be multiplied out among
different communicating investigators.}
\end{itemize}
% \newpage
diff --git a/recommendations.tex b/recommendations.tex
index e2cd2d2..3030857 100644
--- a/recommendations.tex
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...
problem that cannot be solved into one that can. Progress may also
apply to growth in the ability to posit problems. As Deleuze writes:
``True freedom lies in the power to decide, to constitute problems
themselves'' \cite[p.
15]{deleuze1991bergsonism}. Indeed, against any
education by means of ready-made problems, Dewey's perspective was
that 15]{deleuze1991bergsonism}, or, to make this
statement social:
\begin{quote}
``\emph{the ``\emph{We learn nothing from those who say: `Do as I do'. Our only teachers
are those who tell us to `do with me', and are able to emit signs to
be developed in heterogeneity rather than propose gestures for us to
reproduce.}''~\cite[p. 26]{deleuze1994difference}
\end{quote}
Dewey's perspective
was closely related:
\begin{quote}
``[T]\emph{he child's mind can be trained only in so far as the
objects with which they are occupied arise out of their interests
and their own problems.}''~\cite{dewey-by-mead}
\end{quote}
This was our emphasis in Section \ref{sec:unified-approach}:
...
the system shall be allowed to stipulate his own purpose: he is
autonomous.}'' \cite[p. 286]{von2003essays}
\end{quote}
One possible criticism of this model is that it sets a high bar. As
Campbell \citeyear{campbell} says: ``Chance is fundamentally inimical
to rationality, whereas serendipity presupposes a smart mind.'' While
the pursuit of serendipitous findings may not enhance, and may even
diminish, results from a computationally creative system and the
evaluation of such a system's process, we believe that serendipity is
both possible and useful to model in future systems.
diff --git a/serendipity-in-computational-context.tex b/serendipity-in-computational-context.tex
index 08d2c67..a032faf 100644
--- a/serendipity-in-computational-context.tex
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...
\section{Serendipity in a computational context} \label{sec:computational-serendipity}
As Campbell \citeyear{campbell} says: ``Chance is fundamentally
inimical to rationality, whereas serendipity presupposes a smart
mind.'' While it might not enhance, or may even diminish, results
from a computationally creative system which has been constructed with
other goals in mind, we believe that serendipity is both possible and
useful to model in future systems. The 13 criteria from Section
\ref{sec:characteristics} \ref{sec:literature-review}
specify the conditions and preconditions that are conducive to
serendipitous discovery. Here, we revisit each of these criteria and
briefly summarise how they can be thought about from a computational
...
architecture, in which each agent has a goal and evaluates generated
products relative this goal, but in which agents also share their
products with other, who then evaluate them against their own
metrics.
(We will discuss an extended example of this sort in
Section \ref{sec:writers-workshop}.)
\end{itemize}
\subsubsection*{Components of serendipity}
...
% \input{writers-workshop-background-long}
\subsection{Some completely realistic examples}
\textbf{[Here we should put examples of real historical systems that
were designed with serendipity in mind, or that can be interpreted
that way. We could also include some completely \emph{formal}
system (like ``Markov Chain Monte Carlo'') and show how it
\emph{might} operate in a serendipitous fashion, as well as what
limitations it runs into in the process.]}
\subsection{On evaluating a Writers Workshop for Systems}
\paragraph{Writers Workshop: Prepared mind.}
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