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location = {Geneva, Switzerland},  organization = {World Meteorological Organisation},  }  @article{Hawkins2015,  doi = {10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8},  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8},  year = {2015},  month = {sep},  publisher = {Springer Nature},  volume = {46},  number = {11-12},  pages = {3807--3819},  author = {Ed Hawkins and Robin S. Smith and Jonathan M. Gregory and David A. Stainforth},  title = {{Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections}},  journal = {Clim Dyn},  }