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\section{Argument summary}  The actual  argument is more complex in order to avoid various pitfalls, but the basic idea is this: I am trying to compute the probability of our world given that it was not created. For any property $p$ such that our world has this property, the probability of our world is at most the probability of $p$, where the probability of $p$ is defined as the probability of the group of worlds having the $p$ property. Then, if there is such a property $p$ whose probability is $0$, our world's probability is $0$. I will also discuss why it is enough to look at just one property.