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Heather Campbell edited sectionSNa_discovery.tex
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\section{SNa discovery rates}
Simulations, \cite{icella_Cappellaro_Turatto_2012}
\cite{Belokurov} \cite{Belokurov_2003} , predict Gaia will see $\sim$6000 SNe down to G=19 (3/day), and twice this to G=20. One SN per day will be brighter than 18th magnitude (see Fig~\ref{SN_rate}). For CVs the rate will be approximately similar, and Breedt, (priv. comm) predict Gaia should find 1000 new CVs. \cite{Blagorodnova} predict that Gaia will find of order 20 TDE's per year. YSO outbursts will be less common and Gaia will probably only find a few per year.