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Assessing precipitation over the Amazon basin as simulated by a storm-resolving model
  • Laura Paccini,
  • Bjorn Stevens
Laura Paccini
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Bjorn Stevens
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
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Abstract

In this study we investigate whether a better representation of precipitation in the Amazon basin arises through an explicit representation of convection and whether it is related to the representation of organized systems. In addition to satellite data, we use ensemble simulations of the ICON-NWP model at storm-resolving (2.5-5.0 km) scales with explicit convection (E-CON) and coarse resolutions, with parameterized convection (P-CON). The main improvements in the representation of Amazon precipitation by E-CON are in the spatial pattern of precipitation, the distribution of precipitation intensity and the spatial distribution in the diurnal cycle. By isolating precipitation from organized convective systems (OCS), it is shown that many of the well simulated precipitation features in the Amazon arise from the distribution of these systems. The simulated and observed OCS are classified into 6 clusters which distinguish nocturnal and diurnal OCS. While the E-CON ensembles capture the OCS, especially their diurnal cycle, their frequency is reduced compared to observations. Diurnal clusters are influenced by surface processes such as cold pools, which aid to the propagation of OCS. Nocturnal clusters are rather associated with strong low-level easterlies, possibly related to the Amazonian low-level jet. These particular environmental conditions provide insights on the processes that are important for OCS in the Amazon and should be further improved.