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ENSO produces negative rainfall anomalies in wildfire-prone regions \cite{Swetnam1983, Simard1985a, Kitzberger2002, Beckage2003, Wooster2012}. The intensity of these anomalies depends on the regional influence of ENSO over climate. These rainfall deficits exist over the months before—and during–the wildfire season. This influence may increase by the superposition of the Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) \cite{A2004}. ENSO may even have an influence over ignition patterns. In some regions it fosters the occurrence of lightning strikes \cite{Beckage2003}. These facts encourage the investigation of new studies of ENSO and wildfire danger around the world.
The west coast of South America is one of the regions most affected by ENSO's influence over climate. The coastal areas of Peru and Ecuador experience massive rainfall episodes during strong El Niño events \cite{Rodbell1999}. Yet, there has not been enough research on its influence over other natural hazards. Wildfires occur
all over
the entire Andean region. South America \cite{Manta2008}. However, studies about wildfire activity in the northern Andean region are scarce. This study aims to describe the seasonal variability of wildfire danger in Ecuador. Also, we investigate if there is a link between wildfires and ENSO in this region. This is important because wildfires occur every year in this country producing severe impacts \cite{MinisteriodelAmbiente2013, SecretariadeAmbiente2013}. A better understanding of wildfire danger variability and its causes can provide useful information. This insights could be of special interest to emergency response services and planning authorities.
This article comprises six sections. In the first section we provide background and justify the importance of this study. Section two describes the Ecuadorian Andean region as our study area. Section three presents details about the datasets employed in this research. Section four explains the different methods applied. Section five shows the results of our investigation. Finally, section six presents a discussion of the results and concluding remarks.