Oliver Streiter edited section_Estimating_the_Probability_of__.tex  about 8 years ago

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P(M|ABC) = \frac{P(ABC|M) * P(M)}{P(ABC)}  \end{equation}  However, as the probability of joined events (ABC) is usually close to zero, the expanded form allows to estimate the joined events from the independent events where A, B, C are $X_{1}$, $X_{2}$ and $X_{3}$ respectively and $-M$ represents not Ming period tombstones. tombstones \cite{wiki:bayes}.  \begin{equation}  P(M|X_{i}) = \frac{P(M) * \prod\limits_{i=1}^{n} P(X_{i}|M) }{P(M) * \prod\limits_{i=1}^{n}P(X_{i}|M) + P(-M) * \prod\limits_{i=1}^{n} P(X_{i}|-M)}