Abstract
The shape of earthquake source spectra, traditionally fit by
physics-based models, contains important parameters to constrain rupture
dimension, duration, and geometry. Here we apply machine learning (ML)
to derive a data-driven model of source spectra from a global set of
3675 Mw>5.5 earthquakes. The ML model, in the same degree
of freedom as the Brune model, improves the goodness of fit by 8.5%.
Specifically, the ML model fits the data without systematic bias,
whereas Brune model tends to underestimate at intermediate frequencies
and overestimate at high frequencies. The latter descrepancy cannot be
modelled by intrinsic attenuation effect, nor by increasing the fall-off
exponent in Brune-type or Boatwright-type models. Instead, it could be
matched by a Haskell-type double-corner-frequency model with a
high-frequency falloff of f -2.7. Our results
demonstrate that unsupervised machine learning can extract hidden global
characteristics of high-dimensional data, which provide hints to amend
existing physical models.