We conducted a multicentre hospital-based test-negative case–control study to measure vaccine effectiveness (VE) against PCR-confirmed influenza in adult patients with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) during the 2022/23 influenza season in Europe. Among 5547 SARI patients ≥18 years, 2963 (53%) were vaccinated against influenza. Overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 11% (95%CI: -23–36); 20% (95%CI: -4–39) against A(H3N2) and 56% (95%CI: 22–75) against B. During the 2022/23 season, while VE against hospitalisation with influenza B was >55%, it was ≤20% for influenza A subtypes. While influenza vaccination should be a priority for the upcoming season, improved vaccines against influenza are needed.

Background Severe Acute Respiratory Infections (SARI) surveillance is recommended to assess severity of respiratory infections disease. In 2021, the National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, in collaboration with two central hospitals, implemented a SARI sentinel surveillance system based on electronic health registries. We describe its application in the 2021/2022 season and compare the evolution of SARI cases with the COVID-19 and influenza activity in two regions of Portugal. Methods We identified SARI cases based on ICD-10 codes for influenza-like illness, cardiovascular diagnosis, respiratory diagnosis and respiratory infection. Pearson correlation and cross-correlations between weekly SARI cases, weekly COVID-19 cases and the number of weekly positive samples for influenza were estimated. Results A high correlation between SARI cases or hospitalizations due to respiratory infection and COVID-19 incidence was obtained (ρ = 0.78 and ρ = 0.82, respectively). Weekly SARI hospitalizations detected the COVID-19 epidemic peak a week earlier. A weak correlation was observed between SARI cases and the number of positive samples for influenza (ρ = -0.20). However, if restricted to hospitalizations due to cardiovascular diagnosis, a moderate correlation was observed (ρ = 0.37). Moreover, hospitalizations due to cardiovascular diagnosis detected the increase of influenza epidemic activity a week earlier. Conclusion In the 2021/2022 season, the Portuguese SARI sentinel surveillance system pilot was able to early detect the 5th COVID-19 epidemic wave and the increase of influenza activity. Establishing complementary virological inpatient surveillance is vital to aid in understanding the relationship between respiratory virus epidemics and disease severity.

Background: In 2021–22, influenza A viruses dominated in Europe. The I-MOVE primary care network conducted a multicentre test-negative study to measure influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE). Methods: Primary care practitioners collected information on patients presenting with acute respiratory infection. Cases were influenza A(H3N2) or A(H1N1)pdm09 RT-PCR positive and controls were influenza virus negative. We calculated VE using logistic regression, adjusting for study site, age, sex, onset date, and presence of chronic conditions. Results: Between week 40 2021 and week 20 2022, we included over 11,000 patients of whom 253 and 1595 were positive for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2), respectively. Overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 75% (95%CI: 43–89) and 81% (95%CI: 44–93) among those aged 15–64 years. Overall VE against influenza A(H3N2) was 29% (95%CI: 12–42) and 25% (95%CI: -41–61), 33% (95%CI: 14–49) and 26% (95% CI: -22 to 55) among those aged 0–14, 15–64 and over 65 years, respectively. The A(H3N2) VE among the influenza vaccination target group was 20% (95%CI: -6–39). All 53 sequenced A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses belonged to clade 6B.1A.5a.1. Among 410 sequenced influenza A(H3N2) viruses, all but 8 belonged to clade 3C.2a1b.2a.2. Discussion: Despite antigenic mismatch between vaccine and circulating strains for influenza A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09, 2021–22 VE estimates against circulating influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 were the highest within the I-MOVE network since the 2009 influenza pandemic. VE against A(H3N2) was lower than A(H1N1)pdm09, but at least one in five individuals vaccinated against influenza were protected against presentation to primary care with laboratory-confirmed influenza.