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Spatial Clubs in European Regions
  • Davide Fiaschi
Davide Fiaschi
University of Pisa

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Abstract

This paper studies the spatial distribution dynamics of a sample of 254 European regions in the period 1991-2008. Using a dynamic extension of the Moran scatter plot, consisting in a nonparametric estimate of the joint dynamics of GDP per worker and its spatial lag, we find evidence of three spatial clubs: one populated by regions belonging to the former Eastern Bloc countries, one by regions of PIGS countries (Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain) and the last one by regions of other EU countries (notably Germany, France, UK and Northern Europe countries). Local spatial dependence is a pervasive phenomenon, peaking its magnitude around the identified clubs. The forecast of future GDP per worker distribution shows how the actual presence of spatial clubs is doomed to persist in the long run.