6. Figure captions
Figure 1. A) Map of all localities utilized in this study (black dots)
along with the distribution of the Atlantic Forest (gray polygon). Blue
lines represent three major rivers in the Atlantic Forest, from north to
south: the São Francisco River, the Doce River and the Paraíba do Sul
river. B) Interpolated observed (empirical) DXY values
across all midpoints used for the global model. The black arrow
indicates the region of the Serra do Mar valley.
Figure 2. A) Values of R2 for global models across
different sets of predictors. B) Difference in values of
R2 between global models for each set of predictors
that include ecological traits in comparison to models using only
environmental predictors.
Figure 3. Distribution of importance values for each predictor variable
across 100 replicates of global models. A) Models including
environmental predictors only; B) models including environmental and
dispersal predictors; C) models including environmental and demographic
predictors. D) models including all predictors.
Figure 4. Values of R2 for species-specific models,
for each combination of species and locus utilized and each set of
predictors. Dashed lines indicate the location in the graph where
R2 = 0 (red line) and R2 = 0.5
(orange line). For each species and locus combination, four points are
plotted across the x-axis, representing the four different sets of
predictors.
Figure 5. A) Values of R2 for species-specific models
across all four sets of predictors and all combinations of species and
locus. B) Values of R2 for models with highest
R2 across the four sets of predictors within each
combination of species and locus.
Figure 6. Interpolated predicted values of DXY in the
Atlantic Forest across 100 replicates of the global model. A) Mean of
predicted DXY; B) standard deviation of predicted
DXY; C) Difference between the predicted and observed
values of DXY.