Figure 2 | Model prediction plots showing the significant negative correlations between distance between amphibian host and Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) strain collection locations and host mortality. A) Cox-proportional hazards model of experimental exposures of five North American toad species to six North American Bd strains (β = -0.06, z = -2.10, p= 0.04). B) Mixed-effects meta-analysis of Bd experiments using the Sauer et al. (2020) database (β = -0.77, t = -3.05,p = 0.01). Points are predicted model values and gray shading areas associated 95% A) confidence and B) credible bands. C)Relative distributions of Bd load for novel and local interactions from the laboratory experiment showing that, on average, Bd loads were higher on local hosts (red) than on novel hosts (blue). D) Relative distributions of Bd-induced mortality for novel and local interactions from the meta-analysis database showing that, on average, mortality was higher in local hosts (red) than in novel hosts (blue).