Figure 2 | Model prediction plots showing the
significant negative correlations between distance between amphibian
host and Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) strain collection
locations and host mortality. A) Cox-proportional hazards model
of experimental exposures of five North American toad species to six
North American Bd strains (β = -0.06, z = -2.10, p= 0.04). B) Mixed-effects meta-analysis of Bd experiments using
the Sauer et al. (2020) database (β = -0.77, t = -3.05,p = 0.01). Points are predicted model values and gray shading
areas associated 95% A) confidence and B) credible bands. C)Relative distributions of Bd load for novel and local interactions from
the laboratory experiment showing that, on average, Bd loads were higher
on local hosts (red) than on novel hosts (blue). D) Relative
distributions of Bd-induced mortality for novel and local interactions
from the meta-analysis database showing that, on average, mortality was
higher in local hosts (red) than in novel hosts (blue).