1:
Campus Utqiaġvik
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #5”; Falardeau et al. (2019) “Havakatigiit” |
Environmental progress; regional isolation with
cooperation |
2:
Nanook Station
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #2”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Inequality” |
Changed
arctic ecosystems; wide gaps in level of privilege |
3:
Security Detail
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #4”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Saga”;
Brigham (2007b), “Adaptive Frontier”; Falardeau et al. (2019)
“Indigenuity Informs Science” |
Cooperative Arctic; Global
environmental progress; Indigenous communities ascendant |
4:
The Last Preserve
|
Global Business
Network (2008), “Polar Preserve” |
Stable governance; Emptying
Arctic |
5:
Concession 60
|
Global Business
Network (2008), “Arctic Race”; Brigham (2007b), “Globalized
Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Inequality”; Merrie et al. (2018),
“FISH INC.” |
Unstable governance; High resource extraction;
Environmental strain |
6:
Putin’s Gambit
|
- - - |
- -
- |
7:
Voice from the Past
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #7”; Falardeau et al. (2019) “Kablonak” |
Global
cooperation; Adaptation to climate change; Indigenous
leadership |
8:
Icebreaker
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #1”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Race”;
Brigham (2007b), “Fortress Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017),
“Regional rivalry”; Spijkers et al. (2021), “Scramble for the
Atlantic” |
Insecure Arctic; High resource demand; Militarized coastal
areas; Intensive consumption |
9:
Assisted Migration
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #3”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Saga”;
Brigham (2007b), “Equitable Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017),
“Sustainability” |
Lowered emissions; Regional social harmony;
Stewardship of ecosystems |
10:
School’s Out Forever
|
Lovecraft (2019),
“Scenario #6”; Global Business Network (2008), “Polar Lows” |
Reduced emissions; Local isolation and reliance on
subsistence |