Topic #: Title of Story Scenario literature featuring similar ideas Thematic overlap
1: Campus Utqiaġvik Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #5”; Falardeau et al. (2019) “Havakatigiit” Environmental progress; regional isolation with cooperation
2: Nanook Station Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #2”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Inequality” Changed arctic ecosystems; wide gaps in level of privilege
3: Security Detail Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #4”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Saga”; Brigham (2007b), “Adaptive Frontier”; Falardeau et al. (2019) “Indigenuity Informs Science” Cooperative Arctic; Global environmental progress; Indigenous communities ascendant
4: The Last Preserve Global Business Network (2008), “Polar Preserve” Stable governance; Emptying Arctic
5: Concession 60 Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Race”; Brigham (2007b), “Globalized Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Inequality”; Merrie et al. (2018), “FISH INC.” Unstable governance; High resource extraction; Environmental strain
6: Putin’s Gambit - - - - - -
7: Voice from the Past Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #7”; Falardeau et al. (2019) “Kablonak” Global cooperation; Adaptation to climate change; Indigenous leadership
8: Icebreaker Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #1”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Race”; Brigham (2007b), “Fortress Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Regional rivalry”; Spijkers et al. (2021), “Scramble for the Atlantic” Insecure Arctic; High resource demand; Militarized coastal areas; Intensive consumption
9: Assisted Migration Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #3”; Global Business Network (2008), “Arctic Saga”; Brigham (2007b), “Equitable Frontier”; Nilsson et al. (2017), “Sustainability” Lowered emissions; Regional social harmony; Stewardship of ecosystems
10: School’s Out Forever Lovecraft (2019), “Scenario #6”; Global Business Network (2008), “Polar Lows” Reduced emissions; Local isolation and reliance on subsistence