Fault-valve behavior estimated from intensive foreshocks and aftershocks
of the 2017 M 5.3 Kagoshima Bay earthquake sequence, Kyushu, southern
Japan
Abstract
Determining fluid migration and pore pressure changes within the Earth
is key to understanding earthquake occurrences. We investigated the
spatiotemporal characteristics of intense fore- and aftershocks of the
2017 ML 5.3 earthquake in Kagoshima Bay, Kyushu, southern Japan, to
examine the physical processes governing this earthquake sequence. The
results show that the foreshock hypocenters moved upward on a sharply
defined plane with steep dip. The mainshock hypocenter was located at
the edge of a seismic gap formed by foreshocks along the plane. This
spatial relationship suggests that the mainshock ruptured this seismic
gap. The corner frequency of the mainshock supports this hypothesis. The
aftershock hypocenters migrated upward along several steeply dipped
planes. The aftershock activity slightly differs from the simple
mainshock–aftershock type, suggesting that aseismic processes
controlled this earthquake sequence. We established the following
hypothesis: First, fluids originating from the subducting slab migrated
upward and intruded into the fault plane, reducing the fault strength
and causing a foreshock sequence and potentially aseismic slip. The
continuous decrease in the fault strength associated with an increase in
the pore pressure and the increase in shear stress associated with
aseismic slip and foreshocks caused the mainshock in an area with
relatively high fault strength. The change in the pore pressure
associated with post-failure fluid discharge contributed to aftershocks,
causing the upward migration of the earthquake. These observations
demonstrate the importance of considering fluid movement at depth not
only earthquake swarms but also foreshock—mainshock–aftershock
sequences.