To quantify the spatial accuracy of the simulated fire area against the fire perimeter, we use a contingency table as described in \citealt{wilks2011statistical}. The table summarizes the counts of combinations of possible forecast and event pairs (Figure \ref{994048}). Results are analyzed in terms of the hit frequency, miss frequency, false alarm frequency, and Heidke Skill Score (HSS), also known as Cohen’s Kappa.