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Assessing the influence of COVID-19 on Earth's radiative balance
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  • Yi Ming,
  • Norman Loeb,
  • Pu Lin,
  • Zhaoyi Shen,
  • Vaishali Naik,
  • Clare Singer,
  • Ryan Ward,
  • Fabien Paulot,
  • Zhibo Zhang,
  • Nicolas Bellouin,
  • Larry Horowitz,
  • Paul Ginoux,
  • V Ramaswamy
Yi Ming
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Norman Loeb
NASA/Langley Research Center
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Pu Lin
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Zhaoyi Shen
California Institute of Technology

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Vaishali Naik
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Clare Singer
California Institute of Technology
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Ryan Ward
California Institute of Technology
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Fabien Paulot
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Zhibo Zhang
University of Maryland Baltimore County
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Nicolas Bellouin
University of Reading
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Larry Horowitz
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Paul Ginoux
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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V Ramaswamy
NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic led to a widespread reduction in aerosol emissions. Anecdotal effects on air quality and visibility were widely reported. Less known are the impacts on the planetary energy balance. Using satellite observations and climate model simulations, we 15 study the underlying mechanisms of the large, precipitous decreases in solar clear-sky reflection (3.8 W m-2 or 7%) and aerosol optical depth (0.16 or 32%) over the East Asian Marginal Seas in March 2020. By separating the impacts due to meteorology and emissions in the model simulations, we find that about one-third of the anomalies can be attributed to pandemic-related emission reductions, and the rest to weather variability and long-term emission trends. The 20 current observational and modeling capabilities will be critical for monitoring, understanding, and predicting the radiative forcing and climate impacts of the ongoing crisis.