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  • Cognitive Limitations of Human Bayesian Learning

    \label{fig:fully_rational} Replace this text with your caption

    To do list:

    • (Johannes) Explanation rational Bayesian convergence being equal \(\sqrt{t} = t^{1/2}\)
      This follows from the Central Limit Theorem and from the fact that a rationally updated dirichlet conjugate prior acts as a counts model. For details see the following Wikipedia articles: Central Limit Theorem and Dirichlet Distribution.

    • (Thomas) Explain the Hawkes Poisson Process as a candidate model in this context of bounded rationality

    • (Thomas) Check dynamics as a function of 2 minutes sessions \(\rightarrow\) Is there any coherent pattern between spikes and 2 minutes periods

    • (Johannes) Compute matrices of distances between models as a function of time: The output should be triangular matrices

    • (Johannes) Learning models in Economics