Leonardo H S Fernandes

and 4 more

This paper sheds light on the changes suffered in cryptocurrencies due to the COVID-19 shock through a non-linear cross-correlations and similarity perspective. We have collected daily price and volume data for the seven largest cryptocurrencies considering trade volume and market capitalization. For both attributes (price and volume), we calculate their volatility and compute the Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlations (MF-DCCA) to estimate the complexity parameters that describe the degree of multifractality of the underlying process. We detect (before and during COVID-19) a standard multifractal behaviour for these volatility time series pairs and an overall persistent long-term correlation. However, multifractality for price volatility time series pairs displays more persistent behaviour than the volume volatility time series pairs. From a financial perspective, it reveals that the volatility time series pairs for the price are marked by an increase in the non-linear cross-correlations excluding the pair Bitcoin vs Dogecoin (í µí»¼ í µí±¥í µí±¦ (0) = −1.14%). At the same time, all volatility time series pairs considering the volume attribute are marked by a decrease in the non-linear cross-correlations. The K-means technique indicates that these volatility time series for the price attribute were resilient to the shock of COVID-19. While for these volatility time series for the volume attribute, we find that the COVID-19 shock drove changes in cryptocurrency groups.

Leonardo HS Fernandes

and 3 more

This paper provides an overview of the commodities market, considering three relevant attributes: predictability, similarity, and efficiency. We examine the monthly spot and futures prices time series for 22 commodities from January 1984 until January 2022 with 457 observations. We estimate the permutation entropy (í µí°¸íµí°¸í µí±) and Fisher information measure í µí°¹ í µí± using the Bandt & Pompe method (BPM). We employ the value of these two complexity measures to construct the Shannon-Fisher Causality Plane (SFCP), which allows us to evaluate the disorder and assess the randomness present in the monthly spot and futures prices time series for these commodities. Moreover, we apply í µí°¸íµí°¸í µí± and í µí°¹ í µí± to classify the commodities using complexity hierarchy. We find that the commodities that are located farther from the random ideal position (í µí°¸íµí°¸í µí± = 1, í µí°¹ í µí± = 0) in the SFCP, such as Natural gas, Europe; Iron ore, cfr spot, and Potassium chloride are marked by lower entropy, higher predictability and lower efficiency. In contrast, the commodities that are located near the random ideal position (í µí°¸íµí°¸í µí± = 1, í µí°¹ í µí± = 0) in the SFCP, such as Crude oil-Brent; Crude oil-average, and Silver are characterized by higher entropy, lower predictability and higher efficiency. The K-means algorithm and the hierarchical cluster grouped commodities into only three distinct groups, which is a strong indication that commodity prices have very similar behaviour.