3.4 Potentially suitable climatic distributions of S. ciliatum, S. nepalense, and S. yunnanense in the future
FIGURE 5 Potential distributions of Satyrium ciliatum ,Satyrium nepalense , andSatyrium yunnanense under future climatic scenarios in China
Figure 5 shows the potential distributions of S. ciliatum ,S. nepalense , and S. yunnanense in 2050 and 2070 based on two different shared SSPs (SSP1 - 2.6 and SSP5 - 8.5). A suitable habitat for S. ciliatum will be found in parts of Sichuan, parts of Yunnan, Southern Tibet, and the border between Chongqing and Sichuan. The order of total suitable area of different climate models of S. ciliatum was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (69.46 × 104km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (51.83 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP1 - 2.6 (49.36 × 104 km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (48.1 × 104 km2) > Current (32.51 × 104km2). The area of suitable habitat in the future was increased compared with the area of highly suitable habitat in current climatic conditions. The order of highly suitable area of different climate models of S. ciliatum was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (21.94 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (12.19 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP1 - 2.6 (9.92 × 104km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (9.74 × 104km2) > Current (3.27 × 104km2).
For S. nepalense , the suitable habitat is mostly located in parts of Yunnan, parts of Sichuan, Southern Tibet, and along the border between Sichuan and Chongqing. The order of total suitable area of different climate models of S. nepalense was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (97.52 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP1- 2.6 (76.42 × 104 km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (75.15 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (74.75 × 104km2) > Current (61.76 × 104km2). The area of suitable habitat in the future was increased compared with the area of highly suitable habitat under current climatic conditions. The order of highly suitable area of different climate models of S. nepalense was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (16.60 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP1 - 2.6 (13.07× 104 km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (11.95× 104 km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (11. 51× 104km2) > Current (8.76× 104 km2).
For S. yunnanense , the suitable habitat is mostly located in Yunnan, the middle of Sichuan, Southern Tibet, and the border between Sichuan and Chongqing. The order of total suitable area of different climate models of S. yunnanense was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (163.3 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (124.33 × 104km2) > 2050SSP1 - 2.6 (123.37 × 104km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (111.33 × 104 km2) > Current (89.73 × 104 km2). The area of suitable habitat in the future was increased compared with the area of highly suitable habitat under current climatic conditions. The order of highly suitable area of different climate models of S. yunnanense was as follows: 2070SSP5 - 8.5 (25.12 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP1 - 2.6 (20.91 × 104 km2) > 2070SSP1 - 2.6 (19.58 × 104 km2) > 2050SSP5 - 8.5 (18.25 × 104km2) > Current (16.64 × 104 km2).