3.2.2. Models Predicting Non-Institutional Death Incidence
Variables associated with non-institutional deaths are shown in Figure 2 (right points in darker green). Consistently significant positive associations in both Phase 1 and Phase 2 include proportions of Black and Latinx residents, as well as the percent of people aged over 80 years. No covariate was found to have statistically significant negative associations in both phases, though % aged under 20 years was negative in Phase 1 (0.82 [0.75, 0.89]) and % undergraduates was negative in Phase 2 (0.87 [0.81, 0.94]). Substantive changes in point estimates were seen for % of workers in essential services, which increased from 1.03 (0.96, 1.12) in Phase 1 to 1.14 (1.08, 1.21) in Phase 2, and for % Black, which decreased from 1.32 (1.23, 1.41) to 1.14 (1.08, 1.20).