COVID-19 Cases Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Cases Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Cases Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Cases Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval)
Phase 1 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 2
Predictors Total Cases Non-Inst. Cases Total Cases Non-Inst. Cases
% Age < 20 0.95 (0.91, 0.99) 0.95 (0.92, 0.98)^ 0.96 (0.94, 0.98) 0.98 (0.96, 1.00)
% Age > 80 1.01 (0.97, 1.05)^ 1.02 (1.00, 1.05)^ 0.98 (0.96, 1.00)^ 0.99 (0.97, 1.01)^
% AIAN 1.02 (0.99, 1.04) 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01)
% Black 1.20 (1.16, 1.24) 1.22 (1.18, 1.25) 1.04 (1.03, 1.06) 1.03 (1.01, 1.05)^
% Latinx 1.37 (1.30, 1.44) 1.36 (1.31, 1.42) 1.16 (1.13, 1.19) 1.13 (1.11, 1.16)
% Uninsured 1.06 (1.03, 1.09) 1.05 (1.03, 1.08) 1.03 (1.01, 1.04) 1.02 (1.01, 1.04)
% Essential 1.08 (1.04, 1.11) 1.13 (1.10, 1.17) 1.09 (1.07, 1.11) 1.13 (1.11, 1.15)
LTCF Beds 1.39 (1.35, 1.44)^ 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) 1.06 (1.04, 1.07)^ 1.01 (0.99, 1.02)
% Undergrads 0.83 (0.80, 0.86) 0.83 (0.81, 0.86) 0.93 (0.91, 0.94) 0.92 (0.91, 0.94)
% Crowding 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 0.99 (0.98, 1.01) 0.99 (0.98, 1.01)
Housing Density 0.95 (0.91, 0.99) 0.95 (0.92, 0.98) 0.96 (0.94, 0.98) 0.98 (0.96, 1.00)
COVID-19 Deaths Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Deaths Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Deaths Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) COVID-19 Deaths Incidence Rate Ratios (95% Confidence Interval)
Phase 1 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 2
Predictors Total Deaths Non-Inst. Deaths Total Deaths Non-Inst. Deaths
% Age < 20 0.90 (0.82, 0.98) 0.82 (0.75, 0.89)^ 0.98 (0.92, 1.04) 0.94 (0.88, 1.00)
% Age > 80 1.15 (1.06, 1.25)^ 1.25 (1.16, 1.35)^ 1.17 (1.11, 1.23)^ 1.26 (1.19, 1.32)^
% AIAN 0.98 (0.92, 1.05) 1.00 (0.95, 1.06) 1.00 (0.96, 1.04) 0.98 (0.95, 1.02)
% Black 1.20 (1.11, 1.30) 1.32 (1.23, 1.41) 1.07 (1.01, 1.13) 1.14 (1.08, 1.20)^
% Latinx 1.23 (1.11, 1.36) 1.28 (1.16, 1.41) 1.14 (1.07, 1.22) 1.21 (1.13, 1.29)
% Uninsured 0.99 (0.91, 1.07) 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 1.02 (0.97, 1.08) 1.01 (0.96, 1.07)
% Essential 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) 1.03 (0.96, 1.12) 1.08 (1.03, 1.14) 1.14 (1.08, 1.21)
LTCF Beds 2.53 (2.33, 2.74)^ 1.02 (0.96, 1.08) 1.70 (1.62, 1.78)^ 1.01 (0.97, 1.05)
% Undergrads 0.88 (0.81, 0.97) 0.92 (0.84, 1.01) 0.85 (0.79, 0.91) 0.87 (0.81, 0.94)
% Crowding 1.01 (0.94, 1.08) 1.01 (0.95, 1.07) 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 0.99 (0.94, 1.04)
Housing Density 0.94 (0.85, 1.03) 1.02 (0.93, 1.11) 0.89 (0.83, 0.97) 0.97 (0.90, 1.05)