Cut-point Sensitivity, % (95% CI)* Specificity, % (95% CI) Positive predictive value, % (95% CI) Negative predictive value, % (95% CI) Proportion of the population identified by the risk score for intervention, % Proportion of the population the risk score incorrectly predicted event, % Proportion of the population the risk score missed predicting an event, %
≥ 0.13
95.77 (88.14, 99.12) 34.85 (26.77, 43.63) 44.16 (36.17, 52.37) 93.88 (83.13, 98.72)
75.86
42.36
1.48
≥ 0.20
90.14 (80.74, 95.94) 51.52 (42.66, 60.30) 50.00 (41.04, 58.96) 90.67 (81.71, 96.16)
63.05
31.53
3.45
≥ 0.24
80.28 (69.14, 88.78) 57.58 (48.68, 66.13) 50.44 (40.88, 59.98) 84.44 (75.28, 91.23)
55.67
27.59
6.90
≥ 0.33
71.83 (59.90, 81.87) 71.21 (62.69 (78.76) 57.30 (46.37, 67.74) 82.46 (74.21, 88.94)
43.84
18.72
9.85
≥ 0.40
67.61 (55.45, 78.24)% 80.30 (72.49, 86.71) 64.86 (52.89, 75.61) 82.17 (74.46, 88.35)
36.45
12.81
11.33
≥ 0.55
52.11 (39.92, 64.12) 90.15 (83.75, 94.65) 74.00 (59.66, 85.37) 77.78 (70.36, 84.09)
24.63
6.40
16.75
≥ 0.65
39.44 (28.03, 51.75) 95.45 (90.37, 98.31) 82.35 (65.47, 93.24) 74.56 (67.30, 80.93)
16.75
2.96
21.18