The structuring shows that the produced outputs for the third horizon
cover various fundamental features of societies and social-ecological
systems, serving as ingredients for an integrative narrative of a
desirable vision of the future for NPHD. The structuring also reveals
plurality within the groups, as the emerging narratives embed a mix of
people-nature relationships. Some apparent trade-offs occur within the
groups. For example, in ‘Green is Red’, the landscape supports
businesses and food production but also natural dynamics. Various
consistencies across the groups can be found, such as the focus on
health, the contribution to the local economy and the presence of
agriculture. No striking divergences occur across the groups, though it
must be noted here that such comparison is limited by the amount of
content, especially for the ‘The bridge builders’ who focused more on
unpacking the first horizon (Appendix D Table A1).
SDG Target analysis
Assigning one most relevant SDG to each of the sticky notes of the third
horizon shows that, across all groups, three goals stand out: Goal 11
(Sustainable cities and communities; 21% of the sampling units), Goal
15 (Life on land; 18%) and Goal 8 (Decent work and economic growth;
15%). All but three SDGs were represented: Goal 1 (No Poverty), Goal 5
(Gender Equality), and Goal 10 (Reducing Inequality).
Coding the 72 sticky notes for the SDG targets resulted in 236 scores.
We found that 56 of the 196 SDG targets were represented at least once
(Fig. 4). There are 7 targets that we observed in our sample at least 10
times: Target 8.4 (Improve resource efficiency and endeavour to decouple
economic growth from environmental degradation); Target 11.4 (Protect
and safeguard the world’s cultural and natural heritage); Target 11.7
(Safe and inclusive green and public spaces); Target 11.a (Positive
economic, social and environmental links between urban, peri-urban and
rural areas); Target 15.1 (Conservation, restoration and sustainable use
of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services);
Target 15.5 (Reduce degradation of natural habitats, halt the loss of
biodiversity, protect and prevent the extinction of threatened species);
Target 15.9 (Integrate ecosystems and biodiversity values into national
and local planning, development strategies, and accounts).