Figure 3. Relationship between invasion success and phylogenetic
distance as a function of mean and nearest phylogenetic distance to
native species while accounting for phylogenetic, species and community
effects. Lines show the values predicted by Bayesian mixed models, and
the lower and upper bounds represents the uncertainty interval of the
prediction. Occurrence models implement Bernoulli structure of errors
and are based on 1358 estimations of presence/absence of 69 invader
species across 277 communities. Abundance models implement Gaussian
error structures and are based on 792 estimations of 62 invader species
in 213 communities where the invaders were present. All models are
univariate, including as a predictor mean phylogenetic (MPD), nearest
phylogenetic distance (NPD) or each of these predictors weighted by
abundance of native species (denoted with the subscript w ).