The mechanisms of adaptive radiation with phenotypic diversification and further adaptive speciation have been becoming clearer through a number of studies. Natural selection is one of the primary factors that contribute to these mechanisms. It has been demonstrated that divergent natural selection acts on a certain trait in adaptive radiation. However, it is not often known how natural selection acts on the source of a diversified population, although it has been detected in phylogenetic studies. Our study demonstrates how selection acts on a trait in a source population of diversified population using the Japanese land snail Euhadra peliomphala simodae. This snail’s shell colour has diversified due to disruptive selection after migration from the mainland to islands. We used trail-camera traps to identify the cause of natural selection on both the mainland and an island. We then conducted a mark-recapture experiment on the mainland to detect natural selection and compare the shape and strength of it to previous study in an island. In total, we captured and marked around 1,700 snails, and some of them were preyed on by an unknown predator. The trail-camera traps showed that the predator is the large Japanese field mouse Apodemus speciosus, but this predation did not correlate with shell colour. A Bayesian approach showed that the stabilising selection from factors other than predation acted on shell colour. Our results suggest that natural selection was changed by migration, which could explain the ultimate cause of phenotypic diversification in adaptive radiation that was not due to predation.

In ectothermic predator-prey relationships, the capacity for prey to successfully evade predation will depend upon physiological and behavioural responses that relate to both players’ thermal biology. On the Izu Islands of Japan, we investigated how a prey lizard species has responded physiologically and thermally to the presence of a snake predator over evolutionary time in addition to recent climatic warming. Foraging lizard body temperatures have increased by 1.0°C from 1981 to 2019 while lizard body temperatures were 3.4°C warmer on islands where the snake predator is present relative to snake-free islands. We also found that warmer prey body temperatures result in faster running speeds of the prey at temperatures suboptimal for the snake predator. The results show that lizard body temperatures have increased with warming but not to the same extent as that exerted by predation pressure. However, further warming could irrevocably alter this and other ectothermic predator-prey relationships.