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\begin{document}

\title{Curve fitting predicting the number of daily deaths due to the COVID-19
in the near future~}



\author[1]{yoshiyasu takefuji}%
\affil[1]{Affiliation not available}%


\vspace{-1em}



  
  \date{May 05, 2024}


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I agree with their implications on the weakness of the US healthcare
system\textsuperscript{l,2}. As of Oct. 30 in 2020 using the last 200
days open data\textsuperscript{3}, the number of daily deaths due to the
COVID-19 in the US can be predicted by the state-of-the-art curve
fitting with the 6\textsuperscript{th} degree polynomial:

Nov. 6 daily deaths 959,

Nov. 13 daily deaths 1017, and

Nov. 20 daily deaths 1002.

Fig. 1 shows the predicted three red points on the number of deaths on
Nov. 6, Nov. 13 and Nov. 21 respectively. The graph was created by the
curve-fitting Python program: usdaily.py\textsuperscript{4}. If the US
does not change the current policy against the COVID-19 pandemic, the
number of daily deaths will not be alleviated in the next three weeks.\selectlanguage{english}
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Fig. 1 predicted number of deaths on Nov.6, 13 and 21

\par\null

References:

1. October 29, 2020 N Engl J Med 2020; 383:e105 DOI:
10.1056/NEJMsr2031592

2. October 21, 2020 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp2028209

3.https://covid.ourworldindata.org/data/ecdc/new\_deaths.csv

4. https://github.com/ytakefuji/US

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