Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model based forecasting of
COVID-19 outbreak in Bangladesh
Abstract
The 2019–20 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic was affirmed to have spread
to Bangladesh on March 2020. The initial three known cases were
accounted for by the nation’s Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control
and Research (IEDCR) on 7 March 2020. As of 15th April 2020, the
Government of Bangladesh has reported that there is a total of 1,231 confirmed cases, 49 recoveries, and 50 deaths in the whole country. In this research, I try to forecast the COVID-19 outbreak in
Bangladesh by using a well-known epidemiological model,
Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model.