Simulated adult Black Harrier dynamics under different wind farm mortality scenarios (0, 1, 3, 5 fatalities per year). We simulated 100 population trajectories of 100 years (we should probably increase to 500 trajs at least before closing paper). The solid line represents the median of population state in each year. The grey band covers 50% of the population state predictions, while the yellow band covers 90% of the population state predictions. Variation in population numbers tend to increase with time, firstly because of uncertainty in the evolution of the trajectories, secondly, because there are fewer trajectories as some populations go extinct over time.