Evaluation of Long-Term Variations in Water Balance Controlled by the
Density of Land Use Changes in an Urban-Forest Mixed Basin of Western
Japan using SWAT
Abstract
Land use change is a key factor affecting water resources and the
environment; with the development of urbanization, hydrological
processes in river basins have also changed. Although the research on
land use change has been widely discussed, it focuses principally on
changes to total area. In this study, we considered land-use density
changes to be as important as area changes, including changes in the
urban structure reflected by variations in building density and forest
growth and replacement reflected by changes in canopy density and root
depth. In this research, we demonstrate the importance of land use
density changes in cities and forests and their impact on hydrological
processes. It could mostly realistic studies of land use impacts on
hydrology reflect aspects of both area and density. This research used
the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to describe density changes
with selected parameters and quantify the characteristics of these
changes by combining remote sensing technology and mathematical methods.
In results, SWAT produced good simulation results for a mixed basin with
large cities and forest cover in western Japan and clearly reflects
changes in the hydrological processes influenced by both area and
density changes in land use. We show that (1) Urbanized areas increased
by 13%, the surface runoff ratio increased by 7%, and the baseflow
ratio was reduced by 13%; (2) The surface runoff ratio between the
different cities in the basin has a discrepancy of 0.18 because of
differences in the urbanization processes; and (3) Forest growth
increases canopy water storage capacity, which in turn increases
evapotranspiration. Additionally, root growth will have a negative
impact on groundwater recharge. Consequently, the changing density of
land use is an important factor that cannot be ignored when studying
hydrological processes.