Renewable energy generation is non-dispatchable and notably unpredictable. Furthermore, a volatile electricity spot market means vulnerability to both price and volumetric risk for generation firms. As such, project financiers may be hesitant to invest in renewable energy projects. Electrical offtakers purchase from the same spot market, and thus also suffer its uncertainty. Ideas from the world of blockchain and decentralised finance may present solutions for these cases. This paper proposes tokenised revenue streams \textit{(RevToks)} as a novel mechanism for the electricity industry. A RevTok allows the owning party to directly claim a share of a specific generator’s revenue stream. This is combined with tranching, a technique from finance where priority on a revenue flow is divided based on seniority. Project financiers hold this senior RevTok that entitles them to precedence on generator incomes, ensuring loan repayments. A case study using real-world generation, pricing, and consumption data is formulated. A market simulation is performed in the form of optimisation problem to establish an idea market equilibrium. Junior tranch RevToks can be purchased by electrical offtakers to decrease their budget variance by offsetting fluctuations in their monthly energy bill. The tranched revenue profiles of generators are demonstrated visually. For offtakers, monthly variance is universally decreased. The case study market simulations shows evidence that tranched revenue sharing arrangements show benefits for generators, financiers, and offtakers.

Olakunle Alao

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The volatile nature of day-ahead electricity markets means that participants often resort to some form of derivative hedging instrument. One such derivative instrument is a Contract-for-Difference (CfD), specifically available to renewable generators in some jurisdictions to enable them to hedge against their price risk. CfD is a bilateral arrangement between a generator selling into, and an offtaker buying out of, a centrally cleared pool market for electricity. In this arrangement, the generator subsidizes the offtaker when the spot price is high; whereas, the offtaker subsidizes the generator when the spot price is low. This establishes a synthetic bilateral electricity transaction, operating in parallel to the pool market. Embracing CfD to hedge against price risk presents new risks such as counterparty credit, margining, third-party, and legal risks. They also incur high costs and possess underlying process risks. Decentralized Finance - an overarching term representing financial services built on top of a public blockchain - seems to present particularly compelling opportunities in electricity derivatives for these reasons. Therefore, we propose a novel Decentralized Finance instrument: a blockchain-based marketplace governed by a smart contract to act as a mediator between stakeholders mutually enrolled in bilateral CfD arrangements. The employed smart contract structure autonomously and irrefutably enforces the terms of the CfD, underpinned by a novel collateralization and settlement mechanism. This novel approach mitigates the hedging-related and underlying process risks of traditional CfD instruments.

Olakunle Alao

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Ever since the invention of Bitcoin by the pseudonymous Satashi Nakamoto, cryptocurrency has provoked debate in banking and finance sectors, and is sometimes considered a potential successor to fiat currency. Blockchain, the new technology underpinning decentralised and immutable databases, has seen much discussion as a potentially game-changing development. Although many industries are exploring its value, the technology has thus far made only minor impacts. A rapidly expanding base of research has emerged on blockchain's role as a potential disruptor in the electrical energy industry. However, it may be difficult to distinguish hype from more imminently plausible impacts. This paper attempts to serve as a guide for engineering management wishing to make sense of blockchain's potential in electricity. This is accomplished by formulating a novel blockchain industry disruption framework, which exists across three tiers. These tiers extend from ideas with the least effect on an industry to total revolutionary concepts that could completely transform an industry. This taxonomy is constructed by examining existing research into disruption hierarchies and blockchain classification methods. Through the lens of this taxonomy, a literature review is performed on blockchain's role in energy to draw out themes and ideas characterising each tier. The potential likelihood of real-world application of various ideas are discussed, giving consideration to how established industries may be affected or disrupted. The authors provide some conjecture here. Finally, courses of action are suggested for those whose sector may be affected by blockchain.