CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS EFFECTS ON WEATHER AND CLIMATE RELATED EVENTS
Climate change is possibly one of the most serious threats the world is facing nowadays. Scientific evidence shows unequivocally that the climate system is warming (IPCC, 2007a). The impacts of climate change are already beginning to be experienced and no country or region of the world will probably stay unaffected. 
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have increased since the pre-industrial era, driven largely fossil fuels comsumption, changes in land use and agricultural activities (IPCC,b 2007a). The effect of the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been detected throughout the climate system and are extremely likely to have been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century \citep{pachauri2014climate}.
 Global average surface temperature has increased by 0.65 °C ± 0.15°C over the past 50 years (1956- 2005) and has experienced a quite faster rise than over the last 100 years (0.74°C ± 0.18) (see Fig.1 (a)). This linear warming trend has globally been observed and was more pronounced in higher northern latitudes and above land regions (IPCC, 2007b). Sea surface temperature has in response warmed about 0.6°C since 1950 (IPCC, 2007c). Furthermore the quantity of extreme temperatures has altered over the last 5 decades; whereas frost, cold days and nights decreased in amount, the occurrence of heat, hot days and nights has increased on the global scale (IPCC, 2007a).
The global average sea level has raised by 0.17m ± 0.05m over the 20th century (see Figure 1 (b)), whereby the rate of rise accelerated in the short-term; annual rise was recently 3.1mm yr–1 ± 0.7mm yr–1 (1993-2003) compared to 1.8mm yr–1 ± 0.5mm yr–1 in period from 1961 to 2003 (IPCC, 2007a) . Major components of this observed sea level rise are thermal expansion of sea water in response to increased global ocean temperatures, melting from mountain glacier and ice caps and losses from the polar ice sheets resulting in an increased freshwater discharge into the oceans (McMullen, 2009).  Connected to a rise in the mean sea level, sea level extremes will very likely occur more often over the next decades. However, it is currently not clear how storminess and associated storm surges will develop (IPCC, 2013b).
Precipitation have increased trends been observed in some regions like in eastern parts of North America and northern Europe, whereas in other parts of the world like the Sahel and southern Africa precipitation amounts have decreased considerably in the long-term (1900-2005). At the same time that the occurrence of heavy precipitation events substantially increased over most land regions, have regional droughts become more frequent and intense during the past 40 years. Regional increasing and decreasing trends in the quantity of precipitation will very likely carry on in the 21st century. Furthermore will extreme events like heavy precipitation and heat waves probably occur more frequently and intensively even in regions where average precipitation is overall expected to diminish (IPCC, 2007a).
In European Continent,  the average temperature has increased continuaslly, with regionally and seasonally different rates of warming. The greatest warming rates have been observed in Scandinavia, especially in winter and in the Iberian Peninsula,  during summer. Even under average global temperature increase limited to 2°C compared to preindustrial times, the climate in Europe is simulated to depart significantly in the next decades from today’s climate.  Since 1950, high-temperatures extremes have become more frequent and annual precipitation has increased in Northern Europe and decreased in the South.  Extreme events are expected to increase in Europe, in particular, heat waves, droughts, and heavy precipitation. 
Precipitation signals vary regionally and seasonally. Trends are less clear in Continental Europe, with agreement in increase in Northern Europe and decrease in Southern Europe (medium confidence; Kjellström et al., 2011). Precipitation is projected to decrease in the summer months up to southern Sweden and increase in winter (Schmidli et al., 2007), with more rain than snow in mountainous regions (Steger et al., 2013). In Northern Europe, a decrease of long-term mean snowpack (although snow-rich winters will remain) toward the end of the 21st century (Räisänen and Eklund, 2012) is projected.
Extreme sea level events are expected to increase with high confidence, mainly dominated by global mean sea level rise. Storm surges are expected to vary along the European coasts, with significant increase projected in the eastern North Sea and west UK and Ireland. Increase in extreme discharges are indicated in Finland, Denmark, Ireland, France and Rhine, Meuse and Danube basins. Although snowmelt floods may decrease, increased autumn and winter rainfall could lead to higher peak discharges in Northern Europe (Kovats et al. , 2014).
Climate change may also affect countries by changing the variability in sea levels through changes in storminess, in particular, changes in the characteristics of extra-tropical cyclones. An increase in the frequency of extra-tropical cyclones would reduce the return period of present-day storm surge events; whereas an increase in the intensity of events could increase the return period of weak events and reduce the return period of intense events. Both could potentially increase the risks associated with storm surges \citep{hallegatte2011assessing}.
Therefore, coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Coastal areas are complex environments where natural and socio-economic systems are strongly intertwined; they are home to a large and growing proportion of the world´s population, have been centres of human activity and accommodate a rich variety of ecosystems and habitats. Concerning exposure coasts are expected to be exposed to increasing risks due to many compounding climate change factors in the future (see 3.2). In addition potential impacts will be worsened by already existent stresses like pollution and overfishing (World Bank, 2009) and a future increased pressure on coastal areas due to human development patterns (intensified utilisation of the coastal zone, coastward migration etc.) leading to an increased sensitivity (IPCC, 2007c) . It has furthermore to be taken into account that coastal areas in consequence of their location are facing climate change impacts coming from both the sea and the land.
Climate change has the potential to affect coastal areas in a number of ways. Environmental and socio-economic impacts are above all expected due to an accelerated sea level rise. But as well increases in sea surface temperature, ocean acidification and changes in precipitation and extreme events will probably exacerbate many problems coastal areas are already facing (EPA, 2013). An increase in mean sea level in combination with a possible increase of storm induced extreme water levels (storm surges) will probably have more adverse effects on natural and human systems than any single factor (Australian DCC, 2009). Extreme events together with rises in the sea level have the potential to cause damages on settlements, buildings and infrastructure, whereas salt water intrusion into coastal groundwater aquifers may threaten freshwater supplies (CCSP, 2009).
 
As the risk of extreme sea level events increases with climate change, coastal flood risk will remain a key challenge for several European cities, port facilities and other infrastructure. With no adaptation, coastal flooding in the 2080s is projected to affect an additional 775,000 to 5, 5 million people per year in the EU27, affecting the Atlantic, Northern and Southern European regions the most. Direct costs from sea level rise without adaptation could reach €17 billion per year by 2100, with indirect costs also estimated for land-locked countries. Countries with high absolute damage costs include Netherlands, Germany, France, Belgium, Denmark, Spain, and Italy.
Another potential threat coming from the land side are more frequent river floods; higher precipitation amounts will probably entail an increased land run-off (CCSP, 2009).
A disaster risk is defined by UNISDR’s definition (2017) as ‘the potential loss of life, injury, destroyed or damaged assets which could occur to a system, society or a community in a specific period of time, determined probabilistically as a function of hazard, exposure, vulnerability and capacity’. Therefore, an extreme event becomes a disaster when it has large impact on human settlements and activities. As cities grow in size and number, growth in population density and industrial development in areas subject to natural disasters increase both the probability of future disasters and the potential for mass human exposure to hazardous materials during these events. Vulnerability to disaster increases due to environmental degradation, occupation of flood plains, and inadequate maintenance of drainage infrastructures and lack of planning and land management (Poljanšek et al., 2017).  
Flooding and heavy rainfall in urban areas may lead to contamination of water with chemicals, heavy metals or other hazardous substances (Santato, Bender & Schaller, 2013).Especially on coastal areas, sea level rise is projected to increase coastal and river floods. Coastal communities are generally highly vulnerable to climate change threats, due to the high density of people and built infrastructure (Kovatz, 2014) and geographical limits to adaptation (Jäger et al., 2014).
Therefore, adaptation and mitigation strategies are necessary for reducing and managing the risks of climate change. Without additional mitigation efforts beyond those in place today, global warming will lead to a high risk of severe, wide-spread and irreversible impacts globally. Mitigation involves some level of co-benefits and of risks due to adverse side effects, but these risks do not involve the same possibility of severe, widespread and irreversible impacts as risks from climate change, increasing the benefits from near-term mitigation efforts.
Taking a long-term perspective, in the context of sustainable development, increases the likelihood that more immediate adaptation actions will also enhance future options and preparedness.
Adaptation and mitigation responses are underpinned by common enabling factors, which include effective institutions and governance, innovation and investments in environmentally sound technologies and infrastructure, sustainable livelihoods and behavioral and lifestyle choices.
Effective decision-making to limit climate change and its effects can be informed by a wide range of analytical approaches for evaluating expected risks and benefits, recognizing the importance of governance, ethical dimensions, equity, value judgements, economic assessments and diverse perceptions and responses to risk and uncertainty.
Every step taken with regards to climate policy and management should take into account how to adapt to the adverse effects that climate change model predictions expect to be occurring in the near and far future. Therefore, measures looking to enhance adaptation capacities to climate change are imperatively needed in order to guarantee future water supply, water sanitation, environmental restoration and conservation, and the management of extreme events \citep*{manez2014prioritisation}.  
NATURE BASED SOLUTIONS