When Are Investors Rational? ††thanks: The authors thank
National Stock Exchange (NSE), India, for the use of special
trading data, and gratefully acknowledge Citi Foundation for
funding support. They also thank NK Chidambaran for helpful
comments. The authors remain solely responsible for all errors
in the paper.
Abstract
Taking our cue from certain recent advances in experimental
psychology, we propose a plausible theory of conflict between
rationality and inherent behavioral biases of investors. In this
theory no investor is fully rational or fully behavioral at all
times. An investor faces a continuum between behavioral and rational
positions. A movement toward rationality is a choice; it is costly
to be fully rational which requires serious mental calculations. On
the other hand, there could be some benefits to rationality in
special circumstances which compensate for the costs. Using a unique
and extensive investor-level database, we show that the degree of
non-rationality decreases as rational behavior becomes more
attractive. In our empirical setting, the proxy for rational
behavior is investor’s use of private pre-disclosure information
during earnings announcement periods, while the disposition effect
they display serves as an estimate of their behavioral bias.
The paper contributes to the existing literature in several dimensions.
JEL Classification: D81, D82, D83, G11, G12, G14
Keywords: Private Information, Information Asymmetry,
Disposition Effect, Post-Earnings Announcement Drift