Intermediation and decision support system for the management of unemployment in Tunisia: the simulator of duration
 
Abstract. From the National Employment Agency and Self employment (NEASE) database over the period 2005-2015 we proposed to analyze individual determinants of unemployment duration in Tunisia through new decision-making tool able to help employment intermediaries to play their full mission: the simulator of unemployment duration.
Keywords. Intermediation, individual determinants of unemployment duration, MCA, Discrete choice models, algorithms, simulator of duration.
Corresponding author : Anis Ben Ahmed Lachiheb
Classification JEL : R 23, R 19, R 38
 
1 Introduction
 
The mediation on Job market are insured by a variety of institutions and actors, private or public, with complex and several purpose. Many empirical studies has showed and analysed the evolution of intermediary on the employment market, as essential for the job market [1][2][3]. Many Researchers on the subject has tried to solve and find a solution to the problem of unemployment based on a macroeconomic side (matching between job offers and job applications)[4]. However, the imbalance of the job market implies an inadequacy of the selection criteria correlated to the professional contexts, and reinforces the risks of a standardization of personal and heterogeneous criteria of the candidates, unsuitable for placement offers. Hence we are compelled to rebalance this hiring relationship, to insure the matching by intervening, as close as possible, to the working context and much more at the heart of the professional networks to avoid reducing the quality between the applicants and offers of jobs[5]. This is all the interest of this research through studying more closely the microeconomic individual’s determinants of unemployed in order to understand and identify the issue.
The first condition for an efficient job market is the presence of high quality information and its availability, objectivity and reliability. This information is generally qualified as incomplete and fairly criticisable on several aspects when provided by the public sector [6]. Quality information which could be expensive and in some cases unreachable. Thus and consequently private mediators appears to be one of the possible and potential solutions. They are thus provided with the means and developed relational networks that allow them to have advantageous position. However, having reliable and relevant information is certainly important but still insufficient if it’s improperly exploited. For some authors, individuals are unable to coordinate in the market, if it is open at fixed and regular dates [7].The intervention of private mediators is mainly of a technical nature ensuring coordination and programmed matching, without ensuring essential and necessary profiling of candidates and offers. This could be also justified by the information deficiency of candidates associated to macroeconomic parameters of the market usually granted by public mediators. The role of the intermediary should also be to release job offer providers from the costs and the uncertainties of the recruitment in order to guarantee the best possible matching [8][9][10]. That’s why the reduction of transaction costs in the search for information using IT[1] mainly seems to appear the suitable solution to the problem [11] [12] [13].