Intermediation and decision support system
for the management of unemployment in Tunisia: the simulator of duration
Abstract. From the National Employment
Agency and Self employment (NEASE) database over the period 2005-2015 we
proposed to analyze individual determinants of unemployment duration in Tunisia
through new decision-making tool able to help employment intermediaries to play
their full mission: the simulator of unemployment duration.
Keywords. Intermediation, individual
determinants of unemployment duration, MCA, Discrete choice models, algorithms,
simulator of duration.
Corresponding
author : Anis Ben Ahmed Lachiheb
Classification JEL : R 23, R 19,
R 38
1 Introduction
The mediation on Job market are insured by a variety of institutions and
actors, private or public, with complex and several purpose. Many empirical
studies has showed and analysed the evolution of intermediary on the employment
market, as essential for the job market [1][2][3]. Many Researchers on the
subject has tried to solve and find a solution to the problem of unemployment
based on a macroeconomic side (matching between job offers and job applications)[4]. However, the imbalance of the job market
implies an inadequacy of the selection criteria correlated to the professional
contexts, and reinforces the risks of a standardization of personal and
heterogeneous criteria of the candidates, unsuitable for placement offers.
Hence we are compelled to rebalance this hiring relationship, to insure the
matching by intervening, as close as possible, to the working context and much
more at the heart of the professional networks to avoid reducing the quality
between the applicants and offers of jobs[5]. This is all the interest of this research
through studying more closely the microeconomic individual’s determinants of
unemployed in order to understand and identify the issue.
The first condition for an efficient job market is the presence of high quality information
and its availability, objectivity and reliability. This information is
generally qualified as incomplete and fairly criticisable on several aspects when
provided by the public sector [6]. Quality information which could be expensive and in some cases unreachable.
Thus and consequently private mediators appears to be one of the possible and potential
solutions. They are thus provided with the means and developed
relational networks that allow them to have advantageous position. However,
having reliable and relevant information is certainly important but still insufficient
if it’s improperly exploited. For some authors, individuals are unable to
coordinate in the market, if it is open at fixed and regular dates [7].The
intervention of private mediators is mainly of a technical nature ensuring
coordination and programmed matching, without ensuring essential and necessary profiling
of candidates and offers. This could be also justified by the information
deficiency of candidates associated to macroeconomic parameters of the market
usually granted by public mediators. The role of the intermediary should also be
to release job offer providers from the costs and the uncertainties of the
recruitment in order to guarantee the best possible matching [8][9][10]. That’s
why the reduction of transaction costs in the search for information using IT
[1] mainly seems to appear the suitable solution to the problem [11] [12] [13].