A Global Land Reanalysis System with the Norwegian Climate Prediction
Model: NorCPM-Land
Abstract
At continental mid-latitude, soil moisture (SM) is a key component of
the climate systems and land surface initialization is crucial for
subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions. We introduce a new stochastic
global land reanalysis system called the Norwegian Climate Prediction
Model Land (NorCPM-Land), which will be used to initialize the land
component of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). We
assimilate the blended SM from the European Space Agency’s Climate
Change Initiative (ESA CCI) into a 30-member offline simulation of the
land surface Community Land Model (CLM). Fluxes are provided by
30-member historical simulations of the full coupled NorCPM. The
Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) updates daily the soil column from the SM
data using the cumulative density function matching method.The
NorCPM-Land is currently produced for 40 years from 1980 to 2019.
Assimilation significantly improves the land surface state variability
and reduces error by 10.5% when validated using independent SM
observations and by reanalysis estimates from ERA5-Land. It also yields
an improvement of land surface energy, runoff and net primary
production. We demonstrate that adjusting the underlying soil moisture
considerably enhances the ability to simulate land surface state
dynamics.