Numerical study on evaluation of environmental DNA approach for
estimating fish abundance and distribution in semi-enclosed bay
Abstract
Although environmental DNA (eDNA) of aquatic species has been widely
explored, the quantitative assessments of fish remain a challenge. eDNA
approach proposed by Fukaya et al. (2021) gave a reliable abundance (the
total fish population in the study area) estimates of coastal fish but
was not as useful for assessing spatial distribution because of fewer
eDNA samples relative to the study area. Hence, we evaluated the ability
of the eDNA approach to estimate the abundance and distribution of fish
in a semi-enclosed bay based on a numerical study. The evaluation was
conducted as a case study on the ability of the eDNA approach according
to the number of eDNA samples. Our study revealed that the eDNA approach
can reliably estimate fish abundance regardless of the number of eDNA
samples, if outliers of the fish density estimates are eliminated.
However, when estimating spatial distribution, significant estimates
were obtained only under those conditions wherein the eDNA concentration
was identified in more than 70% of the study area. Therefore, it is
necessary to explore other methodologies for broadly estimating eDNA
concentrations with fewer samples. We have confirmed that the eDNA
approach can reflect fish abundance but has limitations in estimating
fish distribution. From above results, we expect our results to provide
researchers with more insights into estimating the abundance and spatial
distribution of fish using eDNA.