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Time series prediction of transformer oil chromatography based on Attention-PSO-GRU model
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  • Yuanxin Teng,
  • Guan Wang,
  • Xiaomeng Su,
  • Meiying Wu
Yuanxin Teng
Shandong University

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Guan Wang
Shandong University
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Xiaomeng Su
Guangdong Power Grid Corp Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau Co Ltd
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Meiying Wu
Shandong University
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Abstract

The content of dissolved gas in transformer oil is an important characteristic to reflect the operating condition of transformers. To overcome the problems that the traditional transformer oil chromatography gas prediction model cannot effectively use the older transformer oil chromatography data and it is difficult to track the transformer oil chromatography data under abnormal conditions and it can only rely on experience to adjust the model parameters, we introduce Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Attention Mechanism (APM) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to construct the Attention-PSO-GRU prediction model. The experimental results show that the Attention-PSO-GRU model can reach 97.9% accuracy in predicting the normal transformer oil chromatography data and has a better tracking ability for the abnormal transformer oil chromatography data. Therefore, the Attention-PSO-GRU model proposed in this paper can effectively improve the accuracy of transformer oil chromatography gas prediction, which has practical significance for preventing transformer faults and ensuring the safe and stable operation of power systems.