A HYBRID CNN & BiLSTM WITH AM MODEL TO PREDICT AND ESTIMATE LOAD
HARMONICS AT NESTLE EAST LONDON SOUTH AFRICA.
Abstract
Prediction of electrical power harmonics promotes development and
provision of clean power supply. However, the elevated frequency
combined with noise of harmonics make precise forecasting challenging
and demanding. Due to the stochastic nature of harmonics occurrence and
the challenge of attaining a dependable, and efficient working model, to
this date research efforts have not been sufficient. Although various
statistical and machine learning algorithms have shown very interesting
and promising results, but work is still being done on algorithms that
would produce the least possible error. This research uses hybrid
convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short term
memory (BiLSTM) with Attention Mechanism (AM) model, to predict load
harmonics at Nestle, a confectionary manufacturing plant in South
Africa. Historical load harmonics data is used as the dataset. The
results show that the hybrid deep machine learning method CNN – BiLSTM
– AM has better performance compared to other five prediction models
when detecting and forecasting load harmonics. The hybrid algorithm has
a prediction accuracy of 92.3569 % and the lowest RMSE of 0.0000002215.