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Stability Analysis of a Fractional-Order SEIR Epidemic Model with General Incidence Rate and Time Delay
  • mahiéddine kouche,
  • Ilhem Gacem,
  • Bedr' Eddine Ainseba
mahiéddine kouche
University of Badji Mokhtar Annaba

Corresponding Author:mahi23dz@gmail.com

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Ilhem Gacem
Universite Badji Mokhtar Annaba
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Bedr' Eddine Ainseba
Universite Victor Segalen
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In the present paper we investigate the qualitative behaviour of a fractional SEIR model with general incidence rate function and time delay where the fractional derivative is defined in the Caputo sense. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ is derived using the method of next generation matrix and we give a complete study of local stability of both free and endemic equilibrium. Using Liapunov method we prove the global stability of free and endemic equilibrium under some hypotheses on the parameters of the system. Finally to illustrate our results, we use the model to predict the first peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in Algeria.
14 May 2022Submitted to Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
19 May 2022Submission Checks Completed
19 May 2022Assigned to Editor
03 Jun 2022Reviewer(s) Assigned
08 Sep 2022Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
14 Sep 2022Editorial Decision: Revise Major
20 Dec 20221st Revision Received
21 Dec 2022Submission Checks Completed
21 Dec 2022Assigned to Editor
21 Dec 2022Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
21 Dec 2022Reviewer(s) Assigned
13 Feb 2023Editorial Decision: Accept