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Stock collapse and its effect on species interactions: cod and herring in the Norwegian-Barents Seas system as an example
  • Joel Durant,
  • Leana Aarvold,
  • Øystein Langangen
Joel Durant
University of Oslo

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Leana Aarvold
University of Oslo
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Øystein Langangen
University of Oslo
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Both the Norwegian Spring Spawning herring (Clupea harengus) and the Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) are examples of how the overexploitation of marine fish populations was leading to a strong reduction even so stock collapse, with a strong decline in the associated fisheries, followed by a recovery. Cod and herring are both part of the Barents Sea ecosystem, which experienced major warming events in the early (1920-1940) and late 20th century. While the collapse or near collapse of these stocks seems to be linked to instability created by overfishing and climate, the difference of population dynamics before and after is not fully understood. In particular, it is unclear how the changes in population dynamics before and after the collapses are associated with biotic interactions. The combination of the availability of unique long-term time series for herring and cod makes it a well-suited study system to investigate the effects of collapse. We examine how species interactions may differently affect the herring and cod population dynamic before and after a collapse. Particularly we explore, using a GAM modelling approach, how herring could affect cod and reciprocally. We found that the effect on herring of cod biomass that was generally positive (i.e., covariation) became negative after the collapse (i.e., predation or competition). Likewise a change occurred for the cod, the juvenile herring biomass that had no effect before the collapse had a negative one after. Our results indicate that population collapses may lead to altered inter-specific interactions as well as altered response to abiotic environmental variations. While the stocks are at similar abundance levels before and after the collapses the system is potentially different in its functioning and may require different management action.
31 May 2021Submitted to Ecology and Evolution
01 Jun 2021Submission Checks Completed
01 Jun 2021Assigned to Editor
06 Jul 2021Reviewer(s) Assigned
13 Sep 2021Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
15 Sep 2021Editorial Decision: Revise Minor
19 Oct 20211st Revision Received
20 Oct 2021Submission Checks Completed
20 Oct 2021Assigned to Editor
20 Oct 2021Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
22 Oct 2021Editorial Decision: Accept
Dec 2021Published in Ecology and Evolution volume 11 issue 23 on pages 16993-17004. 10.1002/ece3.8336